Dukagjini v Vushtrria
DukagjiniVushtrriaSuperliga · WED 14 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dukagjini win at 65%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Dukagjini was 65% before kick-off and our model makes it 66% now. 0–0 · 66–22–13
- 1′KICK-OFF Dukagjini v Vushtrria
- 10′A goal for Dukagjini on 10′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 87–10–3
- 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Dukagjini 1–0 Vushtrria
- 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Dukagjini win: 65% at kick-off, 87% now
- 12′We published Dukagjini at 65%. Our model now makes it 87%. 1–0 · 87–10–3
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Dukagjini 2–0 Vushtrria
- 14′13′ and it is 2–0: Dukagjini have scored. 2–0 · 97–2–1
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Dukagjini win: 65% at kick-off, 97% now
- 15′We published Dukagjini at 65%. Our model now makes it 97%. 2–0 · 97–2–0
- 16′GOAL DISALLOWED · 16' Dukagjini
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Dukagjini win: 65% at kick-off, 87% now
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 87–11–3
- 45′HALF-TIME Dukagjini 1–0 Vushtrria
- 46′SECOND HALF Dukagjini 1–0 Vushtrria
- 66′We published Dukagjini at 65%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Dukagjini win: 65% at kick-off, 95% now
- FTFULL TIME Dukagjini 1–0 Vushtrria
- FTDukagjini 1–0 Vushtrria · Dukagjini win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassChelsea are slight favourites, but Everton are close behind.
Chelsea are our model’s narrow favourites at 38%, with Everton at 35% and the draw at 27%. Chelsea remain below an even chance: this is a slight lean towards the visitors, not a strong likelihood.
Everton are at home and unbeaten in the 2026/27 Premier League: two wins and four draws from six matches, earning 10 points, scoring eight and conceding five.
Pre-match prediction
Published 14 Oct 16:33 · locked at kick-off
Dukagjini win65%Vushtrria win13%Kick-offWED 14 OCT · 17:00
Match timeline
All events
DukagjiniMINVushtrriaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Dukagjini
Vushtrria
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dukagjini | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 10 | Vushtrria | 8 | -16 | 3 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Dukagjini a 65% chance to win. The market has them at 79%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 68%, 65% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 79% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dukagjini win | 65% | 79% | −14 |
| Draw | 22% | 15% | +7 |
| Vushtrria win | 13% | 6% | +7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 57% | −11 |
| Both teams to score | 40% | 35% | +5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 79% | −8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 36% | −11 |
| Dukagjini or draw | 87% | 94% | −7 |
| Dukagjini clean sheet | 52% | – | – |
| Vushtrria clean sheet | 17% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No meetings between these two in Superliga since 2021. Cup ties and meetings in other competitions are not counted here.
Form · last six in Superliga
DUKAGJINI
VUSHTRRIA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Malisheva | 8 | 14 | 19 |
| 2 |  Prishtina | 7 | 14 | 19 |
| 3 |  Gjilani | 9 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 |  Drita | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Dukagjini | 8 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Ballkani | 9 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Drenica Skënderaj | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Feronikeli | 8 | -8 | 7 |
| 9 |  Llapi | 8 | -14 | 3 |
| 10 | Vushtrria | 8 | -16 | 3 |
The competition's standings.