Ballkani v Prishtina

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ballkani win at 48%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Ballkani 48% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Ballkani v Prishtina
4. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Ballkani win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
5. 45′SECOND HALF Ballkani 0–0 Prishtina
6. 47′HALF-TIME Ballkani 0–0 Prishtina
7. 48′We said Ballkani at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–42–22
8. 48′We said Ballkani at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 0–1 · 11–25–64
9. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Ballkani win 38%)
10. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Ballkani 0–1 Prishtina
11. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Ballkani win: 48% at kick-off, 11% now
12. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Prishtina win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Draw 42%)
13. 49′Prishtina find the net on 49′. 0–1. 0–1 · 11–25–64
14. 52′Prishtina find the net on 52′. 0–1. 0–1 · 10–25–66
15. 53′We said Ballkani at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–25–66
16. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Ballkani win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
17. 68′We said Ballkani at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–21–75
18. 75′🟥 RED CARD · 75' Prishtina
19. 76′Prishtina are down to ten from 76′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–1 · 2–16–82
20. 94′0–1 at the end. Our 48% on Ballkani misses, and the record keeps it. 0–1 · 0–0–100
21. FTFULL TIME Ballkani 0–1 Prishtina
22. FTBallkani 0–1 Prishtina · Ballkani win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.