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Ballkani v Drita

Ballkani
0–1Full time
Drita

Superliga · TUE 13 OCT · Suhareka City Stadium

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 15:45
Ballkani 0–1 Drita BALLKANI WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ballkani win40%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.715
The market’s Brier score0.779

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ballkani win at 40%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Ballkani 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–28–31
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Ballkani v Drita
  4. 38′THE CALL SWINGS · 38' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Ballkani win 34%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Ballkani 0–0 Drita
  6. 46′SECOND HALF Ballkani 0–0 Drita
  7. 90′⚽ GOAL · 91' Ballkani 0–1 Drita
  8. FTFULL TIME Ballkani 0–1 Drita
  9. FTBallkani 0–1 Drita · Ballkani win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published 13 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

Ballkani win40%
Draw28%
Drita win31%

Kick-offTUE 13 OCT · 13:00

VenueSuhareka City Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Ballkani

Drita

4Days since last match4
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Ballkani8+213
5Drita7+211

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ballkani winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 13 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off
40% The market43%
Us40%
Market43%

We make Ballkani a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1913 OCT 05:40
Our probability · ballkani win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ballkani win40%43%−3
Draw28%29%0
Drita win31%28%+3
Over 2.5 goals41%45%−4
Both teams to score47%50%−4
Over 1.5 goals67%69%−2
Over 3.5 goals21%24%−4
Ballkani or draw69%72%−3
Ballkani clean sheet35%––
Drita clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%
0123450 10.1 10.3 5.6 2.0 1 12.1 13.2 6.9 2.5 2 7.7 8.1 4.3 3 3.2 3.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ballkani down, Drita across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

20 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.58 of 20
Both scored9 of 20
Last meetingsDRI 2–0 BAL · BAL 3–0 DRI · DRI 2–3 BAL · BAL 2–0 DRI

Form · last six in Superliga

BALLKANI

WWLDLW2–0 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–0

DRITA

WDLDWL1–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Malisheva8+1419
2Prishtina7+1419
3Dukagjini8+313
4Ballkani8+213
5Drita7+211
6Gjilani8+111
7Drenica Skënderaj8+210
8Feronikeli8−87
9Llapi8−143
10Vushtrria8−163

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.