Vjosa v 2 Korriku prediction · Liga E Pare

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Vjosa 0–0 2 Korriku VJOSA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Vjosa win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.788

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Vjosa win41%

Draw28%

2 Korriku win31%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Vjosa

2 Korriku

8Days since last match8

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	2 Korriku	8	+1	11
12	Vjosa	8	+1	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · vjosa winPublished 11 Oct 15:30

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Vjosa a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Vjosa win	41%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
2 Korriku win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Vjosa or draw	69%	–	–
Vjosa clean sheet	31%	–	–
2 Korriku clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.8%

0123450 8.8 7.8 5.2 2.2 1 9.3 12.8 7.1 3.0 2 7.2 8.4 5.1 2.1 3 3.5 4.1 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Vjosa down, 2 Korriku across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 379 Liga E Pare matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.8% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Vjosa at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). 2 Korriku away: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Vjosa, 1.21 for 2 Korriku. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VJO 2–2 KOR · KOR 0–0 VJO

Form · last six in Liga E Pare

VJOSA

LDDLDW1–2 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–0

2 KORRIKU

LDLLDW1–2 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Ferizaj	8	+12	18
2	Rilindja 1974	9	+4	17
3	Liria Prizren	7	+5	16
4	Prishtina e Re	8	+4	15
5	Suhareka	9	+5	13
6	Trepça'89	8	+3	13
7	Istogu	9	−4	13
8	2 Korriku	8	+1	11
9	Trepça Mitrovicë	8	−5	11
10	Ferizaj	8	+4	10
11	Vëllaznimi	9	−7	10
12	Vjosa	8	+1	9
13	Kika	8	−2	9
14	Ramiz Sadiku	8	−2	8
15	FC Besa Peja	8	−2	8
16	KF Lepenci	9	−4	8
17	Mitrovica	7	−6	4
18	Tefik Canga	9	−7	3