Tefik Canga v Prishtina e Re prediction · Liga E Pare

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Tefik Canga 0–0 Prishtina e Re PRISHTINA E RE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Prishtina e Re win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.839

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Prishtina e Re are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tefik Canga 28%, draw 26%, Prishtina e Re 46%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Tefik Canga v Prishtina e ReBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 11:32 · locked at kick-off

Tefik Canga win28%

Draw26%

Prishtina e Re win46%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tefik Canga

Prishtina e Re

3Days since last match3

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga E Pare

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · prishtina e re winFirst published 23 Oct 11:32 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Prishtina e Re a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tefik Canga v Prishtina e Re~~1.21 – 1.64

~~Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 19 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 24~~17 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tefik Canga win	28%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Prishtina e Re win	46%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	32%	–	–
Tefik Canga or draw	54%	–	–
Tefik Canga clean sheet	21%	–	–
Prishtina e Re clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 7.2 8.8 7.7 4.2 1 6.4 12.0 8.8 4.9 2.1 2 4.4 6.7 5.3 2.9 3 2.8 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tefik Canga down, Prishtina e Re across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 403 Liga E Pare matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.8% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Tefik Canga at home: 0.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Prishtina e Re away: 1.60 scored, 1.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Tefik Canga, 1.64 for Prishtina e Re. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 19 Sept

TEFIK CANGA

LDLLLW0–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 3–1

PRISHTINA E RE

WWLWWW2–0 · 4–1 · 0–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Prishtina e Re	11	+9	24
2	Liria Prizren	10	+10	23
3	Rilindja 1974	11	+7	21
4	Trepça'89	11	+6	20
5	Ferizaj	11	+10	19
6	Dinamo Ferizaj	11	+8	19
7	Suhareka	11	+5	16
8	Istogu	11	−4	16
9	2 Korriku	11	0	15
10	Vjosa	11	+4	14
11	Vëllaznimi	11	−5	14
12	FC Besa Peja	11	−2	12
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	11	−10	11
14	Ramiz Sadiku	11	−5	9
15	KF Lepenci	11	−6	9
16	Kika	11	−9	9
17	Tefik Canga	11	−8	6
18	Mitrovica	10	−10	5