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Suhareka v KF Lepenci

Suhareka

0–0Full time

KF Lepenci

Liga E Pare · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 16:06

Suhareka 0–0 KF Lepenci SUHAREKA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Suhareka win~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.993

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Match events aren’t available for this match.

Pre-match prediction

Suhareka win59%

Draw22%

KF Lepenci win19%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · suhareka winPublished 10 Oct 16:17

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Suhareka a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Suhareka win	59%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
KF Lepenci win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	41%	–	–
Suhareka or draw	81%	–	–
Suhareka clean sheet	33%	–	–
KF Lepenci clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%

0123450 5.1 3.9 2.6 1 7.7 9.9 5.2 2.0 2 8.5 9.2 5.2 2.0 3 6.0 6.4 3.6 4 3.3 3.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Suhareka down, KF Lepenci across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 376 Liga E Pare matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.0% of games this season, across 71 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Suhareka at home: 3.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). KF Lepenci away: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

2.14 goals for Suhareka, 1.13 for KF Lepenci. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2025

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga E Pare

SUHAREKA

WDDLWD2–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 4–1 · 0–0

KF LEPENCI

DDDLLW0–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Ferizaj	8	+12	18
2	Liria Prizren	7	+5	16
3	Prishtina e Re	8	+4	15
4	Rilindja 1974	8	+3	14
5	Trepça'89	8	+3	13
6	Suhareka	8	+5	12
7	2 Korriku	8	+1	11
8	Trepça Mitrovicë	8	−5	11
9	Ferizaj	8	+4	10
10	Istogu	8	−5	10
11	Vëllaznimi	8	−6	10
12	Vjosa	8	+1	9
13	Kika	8	−2	9
14	Ramiz Sadiku	8	−2	8
15	FC Besa Peja	8	−2	8
16	KF Lepenci	8	−4	7
17	Mitrovica	7	−6	4
18	Tefik Canga	8	−6	3