Suhareka v FC Besa Peja prediction · Liga E Pare

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SuharekaDrawFC Besa Peja

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Suhareka 56%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Suhareka are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Suhareka 56%, draw 21%, FC Besa Peja 23%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Suhareka v FC Besa PejaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 15:33 · locked at kick-off

Suhareka win56%

Draw21%

FC Besa Peja win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Suhareka

FC Besa Peja

4Days since last match4

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga E Pare

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Suhareka	11	+5	16
12	FC Besa Peja	11	−2	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · suhareka winFirst published 23 Oct 15:33 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Suhareka a 56% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Suhareka v FC Besa Peja~~2.27 – 1.40

~~Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 12~~7 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Suhareka win	56%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
FC Besa Peja win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Suhareka or draw	77%	–	–
Suhareka clean sheet	26%	–	–
FC Besa Peja clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.8%

0123450 3.7 3.3 2.7 1 5.5 8.8 5.6 2.6 2 6.6 8.7 5.9 2.8 3 4.8 6.4 4.4 2.1 4 2.8 3.7 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Suhareka down, FC Besa Peja across0–5 goals a side shown (95.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 403 Liga E Pare matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.8% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Suhareka at home: 2.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). FC Besa Peja away: 1.17 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.27 goals for Suhareka, 1.40 for FC Besa Peja. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~FCB 1–0 SUH · SUH 1–0 FCB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 19 Sept

SUHAREKA

LWDDWL1–3 · 4–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 3–0 · 1–4

FC BESA PEJA

WDLWDL1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 6–4 · 2–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Prishtina e Re	11	+9	24
2	Liria Prizren	10	+10	23
3	Rilindja 1974	11	+7	21
4	Trepça'89	11	+6	20
5	Ferizaj	11	+10	19
6	Dinamo Ferizaj	11	+8	19
7	Suhareka	11	+5	16
8	Istogu	11	−4	16
9	2 Korriku	11	0	15
10	Vjosa	11	+4	14
11	Vëllaznimi	11	−5	14
12	FC Besa Peja	11	−2	12
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	11	−10	11
14	Ramiz Sadiku	11	−5	9
15	KF Lepenci	11	−6	9
16	Kika	11	−9	9
17	Tefik Canga	11	−8	6
18	Mitrovica	10	−10	5