Rilindja 1974 v 2 Korriku prediction · Liga E Pare

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Rilindja 1974Draw2 Korriku

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Rilindja 1974 42%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rilindja 1974 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rilindja 1974 42%, draw 29%, 2 Korriku 29%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Rilindja 1974 v 2 KorrikuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 15:33 · locked at kick-off

Rilindja 1974 win42%

Draw29%

2 Korriku win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rilindja 1974

2 Korriku

4Days since last match4

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga E Pare

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Rilindja 1974	11	+7	21
10	2 Korriku	11	0	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rilindja 1974 winFirst published 23 Oct 15:33 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Rilindja 1974 a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rilindja 1974 v 2 Korriku~~1.39 – 1.10

~~Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 19 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 21 v 15~~3 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rilindja 1974 win	42%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
2 Korriku win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Rilindja 1974 or draw	71%	–	–
Rilindja 1974 clean sheet	34%	–	–
2 Korriku clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.1%

0123450 10.0 8.2 5.0 1 10.6 13.1 6.7 2.5 2 7.9 8.3 4.6 3 3.8 4.0 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rilindja 1974 down, 2 Korriku across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 405 Liga E Pare matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.0% of games this season, across 100 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rilindja 1974 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). 2 Korriku away: 0.67 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for Rilindja 1974, 1.10 for 2 Korriku. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KOR 4–1 RIL · RIL 2–1 KOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 19 Sept

RILINDJA 1974

WWLWDW2–1 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 4–1

2 KORRIKU

LDWDWL0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Prishtina e Re	12	+9	25
2	Liria Prizren	10	+10	23
3	Rilindja 1974	11	+7	21
4	Trepça'89	11	+6	20
5	Ferizaj	11	+10	19
6	Dinamo Ferizaj	11	+8	19
7	Vëllaznimi	12	−4	17
8	Suhareka	11	+5	16
9	Istogu	11	−4	16
10	2 Korriku	11	0	15
11	Vjosa	11	+4	14
12	FC Besa Peja	11	−2	12
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	11	−10	11
14	Ramiz Sadiku	12	−6	9
15	KF Lepenci	11	−6	9
16	Kika	11	−9	9
17	Tefik Canga	12	−8	7
18	Mitrovica	10	−10	5