Ramiz Sadiku v Vjosa prediction · Liga E Pare

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Ramiz Sadiku 1–1 Vjosa RAMIZ SADIKU WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Ramiz Sadiku win~~46%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.769

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ramiz Sadiku are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ramiz Sadiku 46%, draw 30%, Vjosa 24%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Ramiz Sadiku v VjosaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Ramiz Sadiku win46%

Draw30%

Vjosa win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ramiz Sadiku

Vjosa

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga E Pare

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Vjosa	9	+1	10
15	Ramiz Sadiku	9	−4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ramiz sadiku winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Ramiz Sadiku a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ramiz Sadiku v Vjosa~~1.38 – 0.91

~~Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D2 L3 · W1 D4 L1

~~Table places · points 8 v 10~~15 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Ramiz Sadiku win

Published at 47%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ramiz Sadiku win	46%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Vjosa win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Ramiz Sadiku or draw	76%	–	–
Ramiz Sadiku clean sheet	41%	–	–
Vjosa clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 11.9 8.2 4.3 1 12.8 13.3 5.6 2 9.5 8.3 3.8 3 4.5 3.9 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ramiz Sadiku down, Vjosa across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 385 Liga E Pare matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ramiz Sadiku at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Vjosa away: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.38 goals for Ramiz Sadiku, 0.91 for Vjosa. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VJO 0–2 RAM · RAM 1–0 VJO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 5 Sept

RAMIZ SADIKU

DWLLDL2–2 · 3–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–3

VJOSA

DDLDWD0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Ferizaj	9	+12	19
2	Prishtina e Re	9	+6	18
3	Liria Prizren	8	+5	17
4	Rilindja 1974	9	+4	17
5	Trepça'89	9	+5	16
6	Suhareka	9	+5	13
7	Ferizaj	9	+5	13
8	Istogu	9	−4	13
9	2 Korriku	9	+1	12
10	FC Besa Peja	9	0	11
11	Trepça Mitrovicë	9	−7	11
12	Vjosa	9	+1	10
13	Vëllaznimi	9	−7	10
14	Kika	9	−4	9
15	Ramiz Sadiku	9	−4	8
16	KF Lepenci	9	−4	8
17	Mitrovica	8	−7	4
18	Tefik Canga	9	−7	3