Ramiz Sadiku v Vëllaznimi prediction · Liga E Pare

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Ramiz Sadiku 0–1 Vëllaznimi RAMIZ SADIKU WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Ramiz Sadiku win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.689

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ramiz Sadiku are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ramiz Sadiku 38%, draw 29%, Vëllaznimi 32%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Ramiz Sadiku v VëllaznimiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 11:32 · locked at kick-off

Ramiz Sadiku win38%

Draw29%

Vëllaznimi win32%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 12

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ramiz Sadiku

Vëllaznimi

3Days since last match3

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga E Pare

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
11	Vëllaznimi	11	−5	14
14	Ramiz Sadiku	11	−5	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · ramiz sadiku winFirst published 23 Oct 11:32 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Ramiz Sadiku a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Ramiz Sadiku v Vëllaznimi~~1.27 – 1.14

~~Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 19 Sept~~W0 D2 L4 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 9 v 14~~14 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Ramiz Sadiku win	38%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Vëllaznimi win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	23%	–	–
Ramiz Sadiku or draw	68%	–	–
Ramiz Sadiku clean sheet	33%	–	–
Vëllaznimi clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 10.6 9.4 5.9 2.3 1 10.5 13.4 7.1 2.8 2 7.2 7.8 4.4 3 3.1 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Ramiz Sadiku down, Vëllaznimi across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 403 Liga E Pare matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 38.8% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Ramiz Sadiku at home: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Vëllaznimi away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for Ramiz Sadiku, 1.14 for Vëllaznimi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VEL 1–0 RAM · RAM 0–1 VEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 19 Sept

RAMIZ SADIKU

LLDLDL0–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 0–1

VËLLAZNIMI

LDLLDW1–5 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Prishtina e Re	11	+9	24
2	Liria Prizren	10	+10	23
3	Rilindja 1974	11	+7	21
4	Trepça'89	11	+6	20
5	Ferizaj	11	+10	19
6	Dinamo Ferizaj	11	+8	19
7	Suhareka	11	+5	16
8	Istogu	11	−4	16
9	2 Korriku	11	0	15
10	Vjosa	11	+4	14
11	Vëllaznimi	11	−5	14
12	FC Besa Peja	11	−2	12
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	11	−10	11
14	Ramiz Sadiku	11	−5	9
15	KF Lepenci	11	−6	9
16	Kika	11	−9	9
17	Tefik Canga	11	−8	6
18	Mitrovica	10	−10	5