Mitrovica v Liria Prizren prediction · Liga E Pare

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Liria Prizren are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Mitrovica 22%, draw 31%, Liria Prizren 47%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 39%.

The AI’s read on Mitrovica v Liria PrizrenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · postponed, not graded

Mitrovica win22%

Draw31%

Liria Prizren win47%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Mitrovica

Liria Prizren

4Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga E Pare

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga E Pare

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Liria Prizren	9	+6	20
17	Mitrovica	9	−7	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · liria prizren winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 19 Oct 00:15 · postponed, not graded

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Liria Prizren a 47% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.3, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Mitrovica v Liria Prizren~~0.78 – 1.27

~~Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 5 Sept~~W0 D3 L3 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 5 v 20~~17 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Liria Prizren win

Published at 48%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Mitrovica win	22%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Liria Prizren win	47%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	34%	–	–
Both teams to score	39%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	61%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	16%	–	–
Mitrovica or draw	53%	–	–
Mitrovica clean sheet	29%	–	–
Liria Prizren clean sheet	46%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 15.1%

0123450 14.6 15.1 10.2 4.4 1 9.0 13.2 7.7 3.3 2 4.0 4.9 3.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Mitrovica down, Liria Prizren across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 394 Liga E Pare matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.1% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Mitrovica at home: 0.50 scored, 0.75 conceded a game (last 4). Liria Prizren away: 1.33 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.78 goals for Mitrovica, 1.27 for Liria Prizren. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 5 Sept

MITROVICA

DDLLLD2–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 0–0

LIRIA PRIZREN

LWWWDW0–1 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Prishtina e Re	10	+7	21
2	Liria Prizren	9	+6	20
3	Dinamo Ferizaj	10	+9	19
4	Rilindja 1974	10	+4	18
5	Trepça'89	10	+5	17
6	Suhareka	10	+8	16
7	Ferizaj	10	+8	16
8	2 Korriku	10	+2	15
9	Istogu	10	−5	13
10	FC Besa Peja	10	0	12
11	Vjosa	10	+1	11
12	Vëllaznimi	10	−7	11
13	Trepça Mitrovicë	10	−8	11
14	Ramiz Sadiku	10	−4	9
15	KF Lepenci	10	−4	9
16	Kika	10	−5	9
17	Mitrovica	9	−7	5
18	Tefik Canga	10	−10	3