Dinamo Ferizaj v Ferizaj prediction · Liga E Pare

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

Dinamo Ferizaj 1–4 Ferizaj DINAMO FERIZAJ WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Dinamo Ferizaj win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.971

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dinamo Ferizaj are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Ferizaj 51%, draw 28%, Ferizaj 21%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Ferizaj v FerizajBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Ferizaj win51%

Draw28%

Ferizaj win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Ferizaj

Ferizaj

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga E Pare

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dinamo ferizaj winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:10 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Dinamo Ferizaj a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dinamo Ferizaj v Ferizaj~~1.51 – 0.85

~~Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 6 Sept~~W3 D3 L0 · W3 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 19 v 13~~1 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Dinamo Ferizaj win

Published at 52%, 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Ferizaj win	51%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Ferizaj win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Dinamo Ferizaj or draw	79%	–	–
Dinamo Ferizaj clean sheet	43%	–	–
Ferizaj clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.2%

0123450 11.2 7.1 3.5 1 13.2 12.8 5.0 2 10.5 8.6 3.7 3 5.4 4.4 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Ferizaj down, Ferizaj across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 385 Liga E Pare matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Dinamo Ferizaj at home: 2.33 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Ferizaj away: 1.40 scored, 0.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Dinamo Ferizaj, 0.85 for Ferizaj. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 6 Sept

DINAMO FERIZAJ

DWWDWD1–1 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–0

FERIZAJ

DWWDDW0–0 · 2–0 · 5–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Ferizaj	9	+12	19
2	Prishtina e Re	9	+6	18
3	Liria Prizren	8	+5	17
4	Rilindja 1974	9	+4	17
5	Trepça'89	9	+5	16
6	Suhareka	9	+5	13
7	Ferizaj	9	+5	13
8	Istogu	9	−4	13
9	2 Korriku	9	+1	12
10	FC Besa Peja	9	0	11
11	Trepça Mitrovicë	9	−7	11
12	Vjosa	9	+1	10
13	Vëllaznimi	9	−7	10
14	Kika	9	−4	9
15	Ramiz Sadiku	9	−4	8
16	KF Lepenci	9	−4	8
17	Mitrovica	8	−7	4
18	Tefik Canga	9	−7	3