2 Korriku v Istogu prediction · Liga E Pare

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 16:26

2 Korriku 1–0 Istogu 2 KORRIKU WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said 2 Korriku win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.336

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

2 Korriku are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: 2 Korriku 53%, draw 24%, Istogu 23%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on 2 Korriku v IstoguBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

2 Korriku win53%

Draw24%

Istogu win23%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

2 Korriku

Istogu

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga E Pare

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga E Pare

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Istogu	9	−4	13
9	2 Korriku	9	+1	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · 2 korriku winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make 2 Korriku a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · 2 Korriku v Istogu~~1.87 – 1.16

~~Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 13~~9 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · 2 Korriku win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
2 Korriku win	53%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Istogu win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	57%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
2 Korriku or draw	77%	–	–
2 Korriku clean sheet	32%	–	–
Istogu clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 6.3 4.9 3.4 1 8.3 11.1 5.9 2.4 2 8.4 9.3 5.3 2.1 3 5.2 5.8 3.3 4 2.6 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+2 Korriku down, Istogu across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 385 Liga E Pare matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga E Pare matches have gone over 2.5 in 37.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 7.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

2 Korriku at home: 0.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Istogu away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.87 goals for 2 Korriku, 1.16 for Istogu. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~7.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~IST 4–7 KOR · KOR 3–0 IST

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga E Pare this season · since 5 Sept

2 KORRIKU

DLLDWD0–0 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–0

ISTOGU

WLLDWW1–0 · 0–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Ferizaj	9	+12	19
2	Prishtina e Re	9	+6	18
3	Liria Prizren	8	+5	17
4	Rilindja 1974	9	+4	17
5	Trepça'89	9	+5	16
6	Suhareka	9	+5	13
7	Ferizaj	9	+5	13
8	Istogu	9	−4	13
9	2 Korriku	9	+1	12
10	FC Besa Peja	9	0	11
11	Trepça Mitrovicë	9	−7	11
12	Vjosa	9	+1	10
13	Vëllaznimi	9	−7	10
14	Kika	9	−4	9
15	Ramiz Sadiku	9	−4	8
16	KF Lepenci	9	−4	8
17	Mitrovica	8	−7	4
18	Tefik Canga	9	−7	3