Kabati Youth FC v Kisumu All Stars prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Kabati Youth FCDrawKisumu All Stars

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Kabati Youth FC 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kabati Youth FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kabati Youth FC 47%, draw 27%, Kisumu All Stars 26%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Kabati Youth FC v Kisumu All StarsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

Kabati Youth FC win47%

Draw27%

Kisumu All Stars win26%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kabati Youth FC

Kisumu All Stars

135Days since last match135

Last match: 13 June · Super League (Kenya)

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Kisumu All Stars	0	0	0
15	Kabati Youth FC	0	0	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kabati youth fc winFirst published 20 Oct 09:31 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Kabati Youth FC a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kabati Youth FC v Kisumu All Stars~~1.33 – 0.89

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~15 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kabati Youth FC win	47%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Kisumu All Stars win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	38%	–	–
Both teams to score	42%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Kabati Youth FC or draw	74%	–	–
Kabati Youth FC clean sheet	42%	–	–
Kisumu All Stars clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.0%

0123450 10.8 10.3 4.4 1 15.0 11.9 5.6 2 9.5 8.2 3.6 3 4.3 3.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kabati Youth FC down, Kisumu All Stars across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,083 Super League matches up to 13 Jun 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 34.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kabati Youth FC at home: 1.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Kisumu All Stars away: 0.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.33 goals for Kabati Youth FC, 0.89 for Kisumu All Stars. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KIS 1–1 KAB · KAB 2–0 KIS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League this season

KABATI YOUTH FC

No matches in our record yet.

KISUMU ALL STARS

No matches in our record yet.

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Sofapaka	0	0	0
2	Nairobi City Stars	0	0	0
3	Kariobangi Sharks	0	0	0
4	Nzoia Sugar	0	0	0
5	Naivas	0	0	0
6	Kibera Black Stars	0	0	0
7	Talanta	0	0	0
8	Kisumu All Stars	0	0	0
9	Fortune Sacco	0	0	0
10	Soy United	0	0	0
11	Equity Bank	0	0	0
12	Luanda Villa	0	0	0
13	MOFA	0	0	0
14	Kibera Soccer	0	0	0
15	Kabati Youth FC	0	0	0
16	Gucha Stars	0	0	0
17	Mfalme	0	0	0
18	Kiminini Combined	0	0	0
19	BB FC	0	0	0
20	Spitfire FC	0	0	0