Zhetysu v Kaisar

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zhetysu win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Zhetysu 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Zhetysu v Kaisar
4. 11′A goal for Kaisar on 11′. 0–0 · 37–30–32
5. 12′We said Zhetysu at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
6. 12′⚽ GOAL · 11' Zhetysu 0–1 Kaisar · V. Moses
7. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 12' Zhetysu win: 39% at kick-off, 14% now
8. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' Kaisar win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Zhetysu win 14%)
9. 20′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Zhetysu
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 11–23–66
11. 38′We said Zhetysu at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–23–68
12. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Zhetysu win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
13. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 40' Kaisar
14. 45′HALF-TIME Zhetysu 0–1 Kaisar
15. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Zhetysu · On: T. Mosiashvili · Off: M. Zhakipbayev Corrected
16. 46′SECOND HALF Zhetysu 0–1 Kaisar
17. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Kaisar · On: Agostinho · Off: N. Zhaksylyk Corrected
18. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Kaisar · On: A. Mukhammed · Off: N. Agzambaev Corrected
19. 60′We said Zhetysu at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
20. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Zhetysu · On: N. Nurbol · Off: A. Adakhadziev Corrected
21. 71′A goal for Zhetysu on 71′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 18–65–16
22. 71′We said Zhetysu at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–65–16
23. 71′⚽ GOAL · 71' Zhetysu 1–1 Kaisar
24. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Zhetysu win: 39% at kick-off, 18% now
25. 71′THE CALL SWINGS · 71' Draw is now our likeliest result at 65% (was Kaisar win 16%)
26. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Zhetysu
27. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Kaisar
28. 77′A goal for Zhetysu on 76′. 1–1 · 14–74–12
29. 77′We said Zhetysu at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
30. 77′3 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 88–11–1
31. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Kaisar · On: B. Tazhibay · Off: A. Kenesbek Corrected
32. 77′⚽ GOAL · 76' Zhetysu 2–1 Kaisar
33. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Zhetysu win: 39% at kick-off, 88% now
34. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Zhetysu win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 11%)
35. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Zhetysu win: 39% at kick-off, 89% now
36. 80′We said Zhetysu at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
37. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Kaisar · On: E. Kaldybekov · Off: V. Moses Corrected
38. 86′We said Zhetysu at 39% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
39. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Kaisar · On: R. Bagdat · Off: S. Askarov Corrected
40. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Zhetysu · On: S. Anuarbek · Off: N. Anuarbekov Corrected
41. 90′2–1 at the end. Our 39% on Zhetysu comes in. 2–1 · 100–0–0
42. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Zhetysu win: 39% at kick-off, 99% now
43. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Zhetysu
44. FTFULL TIME Zhetysu 2–1 Kaisar
45. FTZhetysu 2–1 Kaisar · Zhetysu win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.