FK Tobol Kostanay v Zhenys

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FK Tobol Kostanay win at 54%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FK Tobol Kostanay 54% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–24–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF FK Tobol Kostanay v Zhenys
4. 6′A goal for Zhenys on 6′. 0–0 · 53–25–21
5. 6′We said FK Tobol Kostanay at 54%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–1 · 28–26–47
6. 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' FK Tobol Kostanay 0–1 Zhenys · P. Kpozo
7. 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 6' FK Tobol Kostanay win: 54% at kick-off, 28% now
8. 6′THE CALL SWINGS · 6' Zhenys win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was FK Tobol Kostanay win 28%)
9. 12′FK Tobol Kostanay find the net on 12′. 0–1 · 26–26–48
10. 12′⚽ GOAL · 12' FK Tobol Kostanay 1–1 Zhenys
11. 12′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 12' FK Tobol Kostanay win: 54% at kick-off, 52% now
12. 12′THE CALL SWINGS · 12' FK Tobol Kostanay win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Zhenys win 21%)
13. 18′A goal for FK Tobol Kostanay on 18′. 1–1 · 50–28–21
14. 19′We said FK Tobol Kostanay at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 2–1 · 79–15–6
15. 19′⚽ GOAL · 18' FK Tobol Kostanay 2–1 Zhenys
16. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' FK Tobol Kostanay win: 54% at kick-off, 79% now
17. 30′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 79–15–5
18. 32′We said FK Tobol Kostanay at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–15–5
19. 33′FK Tobol Kostanay find the net on 33′. 2–1 · 80–15–5
20. 33′We said FK Tobol Kostanay at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
21. 33′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 95–4–1
22. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' FK Tobol Kostanay 3–1 Zhenys
23. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' FK Tobol Kostanay win: 54% at kick-off, 95% now
24. 38′A goal for Zhenys on 38′. 3–1 · 95–4–1
25. 38′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 80–15–5
26. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' FK Tobol Kostanay 3–2 Zhenys
27. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' FK Tobol Kostanay win: 54% at kick-off, 80% now
28. 45′HALF-TIME FK Tobol Kostanay 3–2 Zhenys
29. 45′SECOND HALF FK Tobol Kostanay 3–2 Zhenys
30. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Zhenys
31. 59′FK Tobol Kostanay find the net on 59′. 3–2 · 83–14–2
32. 60′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 4–2 · 98–2–0
33. 60′⚽ GOAL · 59' FK Tobol Kostanay 4–2 Zhenys · Z. Zhumashev
34. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' FK Tobol Kostanay win: 54% at kick-off, 98% now
35. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Zhenys · On: A. Saulet · Off: S. Tursynbay Corrected
36. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Zhenys
37. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Zhenys · On: Elder Santana · Off: R. Isaev Corrected
38. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' FK Tobol Kostanay · On: U. Milovanovic · Off: Z. Zhumashev Corrected
39. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Zhenys
40. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Zhenys · On: M. Bystrov · Off: B. Madelkhan Corrected
41. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Zhenys · On: Y. Besengaliyev · Off: Adilio Corrected
42. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' FK Tobol Kostanay
43. 79′We said FK Tobol Kostanay at 54% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–2 · 100–0–0
44. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 79' FK Tobol Kostanay · On: D. Zhumat · Off: V. Lisakovich Corrected
45. 90′4–2 at the end. Our 54% on FK Tobol Kostanay comes in. 4–2 · 100–0–0
46. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Zhenys
47. FTFULL TIME FK Tobol Kostanay 4–2 Zhenys
48. FTFK Tobol Kostanay 4–2 Zhenys · FK Tobol Kostanay win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.