FC Astana v Kaspiy

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Astana win at 70%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC Astana was 70% before kick-off and our model makes it 70% now. 0–0 · 70–17–12
3. 1′KICK-OFF FC Astana v Kaspiy
4. 24′A goal for Kaspiy on 23′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 36–27–36
5. 24′We said FC Astana at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 0–1 · 36–27–36
6. 24′⚽ GOAL · 23' FC Astana 0–1 Kaspiy
7. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' FC Astana win: 70% at kick-off, 36% now
8. 27′FC Astana score on 27′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 63–24–13
9. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' FC Astana 1–1 Kaspiy
10. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' FC Astana win: 70% at kick-off, 63% now
11. 29′26′: M. Tomasov on the scoresheet for FC Astana, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 62–25–13
12. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' FC Astana
13. 36′Kaspiy find the net on 36′. 1–2. 1–2 · 30–29–41
14. 36′We said FC Astana at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 30%. 1–2 · 30–29–41
15. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' FC Astana 1–2 Kaspiy
16. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' FC Astana win: 70% at kick-off, 30% now
17. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Kaspiy win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was FC Astana win 30%)
18. 37′We said FC Astana at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–2 · 29–29–42
19. 45′Kaspiy ahead on 35′ through K. Sylla. 1–2. 1–2 · 25–30–45
20. 45′HALF-TIME FC Astana 1–2 Kaspiy
21. 46′We said FC Astana at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–2 · 24–30–46
22. 46′SECOND HALF FC Astana 1–2 Kaspiy
23. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Kaspiy
24. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' FC Astana win: 70% at kick-off, 20% now
25. 53′We said FC Astana at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–2 · 19–30–50
26. 61′We said FC Astana at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–30–56
27. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 59' FC Astana · On: D. Marat · Off: S. Basmanov
28. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' FC Astana · On: N. Buric · Off: B. Islamkhan
29. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' FC Astana · On: D. Karaman · Off: A. Beysebekov
30. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' FC Astana win: 70% at kick-off, 10% now
31. 68′We said FC Astana at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–28–63
32. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Kaspiy · On: I. Umaev · Off: N. Ndombasi
33. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Kaspiy · On: R. Abylaykhan · Off: K. Sylla
34. 69′A goal for FC Astana on 68′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 36–53–11
35. 69′⚽ GOAL · 68' FC Astana 2–2 Kaspiy
36. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Kaspiy
37. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' FC Astana win: 70% at kick-off, 36% now
38. 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Kaspiy win 11%)
39. 70′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 35–55–11
40. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' FC Astana win: 70% at kick-off, 30% now
41. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 74' FC Astana · On: A. Merkel · Off: R. Karimov
42. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' FC Astana win: 70% at kick-off, 19% now
43. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Kaspiy · On: M. Serikbay · Off: D. Epton
44. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' FC Astana win: 70% at kick-off, 9% now
45. 93′We said FC Astana at 70%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–95–1
46. 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Kaspiy · On: B. Kabylan · Off: V. Klimovich
47. 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Kaspiy · On: D. Nechayev · Off: P. Sedko
48. FTFULL TIME FC Astana 2–2 Kaspiy
49. FTFC Astana 2–2 Kaspiy · FC Astana win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.