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Yelimay Semey 2 v Tobol 2
Yelimay Semey 2
Tobol 21. Division · THU 22 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Tobol 2 win at 49%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Yelimay Semey 2 v Tobol 2
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Tobol 2 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 32–19–49
- 32′A goal for Tobol 2 on 32′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 12–18–70
- 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Yelimay Semey 2 0–1 Tobol 2
- 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Tobol 2 win: 49% at kick-off, 70% now
- 33′We said Tobol 2 at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 0–1 · 12–18–70
- 40′E. Musaev scores for Tobol 2 on 35′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 11–19–71
- 45′HALF-TIME Yelimay Semey 2 0–1 Tobol 2
- 46′SECOND HALF Yelimay Semey 2 0–1 Tobol 2
- 48′Tobol 2 score on 47′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 2–7–91
- 48′We said Tobol 2 at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 0–2 · 2–7–91
- 48′⚽ GOAL · 47' Yelimay Semey 2 0–2 Tobol 2
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Tobol 2 win: 49% at kick-off, 91% now
- 50′The goal count is tracking the 4.0 we expected. 0–2 · 2–7–91
- 58′Yelimay Semey 2 find the net on 57′. 1–2. 1–2 · 7–19–74
- 58′⚽ GOAL · 57' Yelimay Semey 2 1–2 Tobol 2
- 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Tobol 2 win: 49% at kick-off, 74% now
- 61′We said Tobol 2 at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 6–19–75
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Tobol 2 win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
- 73′We said Tobol 2 at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–2 · 3–17–80
- 80′We said Tobol 2 at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 1–2 · 1–13–86
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Tobol 2 win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
- 87′A goal for Tobol 2 on 87′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Yelimay Semey 2 1–3 Tobol 2
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Tobol 2 win: 49% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 88′We said Tobol 2 at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 88′That is 4, and we only asked for 4.0 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- 93′Yelimay Semey 2 score on 90′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–3–97
- 93′We said Tobol 2 at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 2–3 · 0–3–97
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Yelimay Semey 2 2–3 Tobol 2
- 95′5 goals already, more than the 4.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–2–98
- FTFULL TIME Yelimay Semey 2 2–3 Tobol 2
- FTYelimay Semey 2 2–3 Tobol 2 · Tobol 2 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Tobol 2 are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Yelimay Semey 2 32%, draw 19%, Tobol 2 49%. Over 2.5 goals 75%, both teams to score 72%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off
Yelimay Semey 2 win32%
Tobol 2 win49%Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 10:00
RoundMatchday 26
Match timeline
All events
Yelimay Semey 2MIN
Tobol 2Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Yelimay Semey 2
Tobol 2
Last match: 15 Oct · the Kazakh 1. Division
Last match: 15 Oct · the Kazakh 1. Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Tobol 2 a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yelimay Semey 2 win | 32% | – | – |
| Draw | 19% | – | – |
| Tobol 2 win | 49% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 72% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% | – | – |
| Yelimay Semey 2 or draw | 51% | – | – |
| Yelimay Semey 2 clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
| Tobol 2 clean sheet | 18% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 27 Aug
YELIMAY SEMEY 2
TOBOL 2
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 25 | +57 | 65 |
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 25 | +56 | 60 |
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 25 | +31 | 54 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 25 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 | Astana II | 25 | −1 | 36 |
| 6 | Taraz | 25 | +3 | 34 |
| 7 | Jaiyq | 25 | −8 | 32 |
| 8 | Arys | 25 | −12 | 30 |
| 9 | Khan Tengri | 25 | −14 | 29 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 25 | −11 | 28 |
| 11 | Ekibastuz | 25 | −24 | 27 |
| 12 | Aktobe Jas | 25 | −32 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 25 | −14 | 20 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 25 | −37 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Shakhter Karagandy
Sport Academy Kairat
Turan Turkistan
Akademiya Ontustik
Astana II
Taraz
Jaiyq
Arys
Khan Tengri
Kaspij Aktau 2
Ekibastuz
Aktobe Jas