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Taraz v Kaspij Aktau 2
Taraz
Kaspij Aktau 21. Division · FRI 16 OCT · Central Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Taraz win at 50%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Taraz v Kaspij Aktau 2
- 2′Much as we predicted: Taraz was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–26
- 26′A goal for Taraz on 26′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 75–17–8
- 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Taraz 1–0 Kaspij Aktau 2
- 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Taraz win: 50% at kick-off, 75% now
- 27′We published Taraz at 50%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–17–8
- 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 75–17–7
- 32′An own goal by Kaspij Aktau 2's N. Syilagan on 27′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–7
- 45′HALF-TIME Taraz 1–0 Kaspij Aktau 2
- 46′SECOND HALF Taraz 1–0 Kaspij Aktau 2
- 51′Taraz score on 50′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
- 51′⚽ GOAL · 50' Taraz 2–0 Kaspij Aktau 2
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Taraz win: 50% at kick-off, 95% now
- 52′We published Taraz at 50%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
- 53′Taraz find the net on 52′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 53′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' Taraz 3–0 Kaspij Aktau 2
- 57′We published Taraz at 50%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Taraz win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 66′A goal for Taraz on 65′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Taraz 4–0 Kaspij Aktau 2
- 67′4 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 92′Taraz score on 90′ to make it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Taraz 5–0 Kaspij Aktau 2
- 93′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Taraz 5–0 Kaspij Aktau 2
- FTTaraz 5–0 Kaspij Aktau 2 · Taraz win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassTaraz are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Taraz 50%, draw 23%, Kaspij Aktau 2 27%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Taraz win50%
Kaspij Aktau 2 win27%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 25
VenueCentral Stadium
Match timeline
All events
TarazMIN
Kaspij Aktau 2Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Taraz
Kaspij Aktau 2
Last match: 9 Oct · the Kazakh 1. Division
Last match: 8 Oct · the Kazakh 1. Division
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Taraz a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taraz win | 50% | – | – |
| Draw | 23% | – | – |
| Kaspij Aktau 2 win | 27% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 52% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | – | – |
| Taraz or draw | 73% | – | – |
| Taraz clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
| Kaspij Aktau 2 clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 20 Aug
TARAZ
KASPIJ AKTAU 2
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | +58 | 65 |
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 24 | +54 | 57 |
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 24 | +30 | 51 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 25 | +6 | 43 |
| 5 | Astana II | 25 | −1 | 36 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 25 | −8 | 32 |
| 7 | Taraz | 24 | −2 | 31 |
| 8 | Arys | 25 | −12 | 30 |
| 9 | Khan Tengri | 25 | −14 | 29 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 24 | −6 | 28 |
| 11 | Ekibastuz | 24 | −22 | 27 |
| 12 | Aktobe Jas | 25 | −32 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 25 | −14 | 20 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 25 | −37 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Shakhter Karagandy
Sport Academy Kairat
Turan Turkistan
Akademiya Ontustik
Astana II
Jaiyq
Arys
Khan Tengri
Ekibastuz
Aktobe Jas
Tobol 2
Yelimay Semey 2