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Astana II v Yelimay Semey 2
Astana II
Yelimay Semey 21. Division · THU 15 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Astana II win at 63%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Astana II 63% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–19–18
- 1′KICK-OFF Astana II v Yelimay Semey 2
- 13′A goal for Astana II on 13′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–12–7
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Astana II 1–0 Yelimay Semey 2
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Astana II win: 63% at kick-off, 81% now
- 14′We said Astana II at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–12–7
- 17′Astana II score on 17′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 93–5–2
- 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Astana II 2–0 Yelimay Semey 2
- 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Astana II win: 63% at kick-off, 93% now
- 18′We said Astana II at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–2
- 31′Astana II find the net on 31′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Astana II 3–0 Yelimay Semey 2
- 32′We said Astana II at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 44′A goal for Astana II on 43′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 43' Astana II 4–0 Yelimay Semey 2
- 45′We said Astana II at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 45′HALF-TIME Astana II 4–0 Yelimay Semey 2
- 46′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
- 46′SECOND HALF Astana II 4–0 Yelimay Semey 2
- 61′5 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Astana II 5–0 Yelimay Semey 2
- 62′Astana II score on 61′ to make it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
- 70′Astana II find the net on 69′. 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
- 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Astana II 6–0 Yelimay Semey 2
- 71′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 6–0 · 100–0–0
- 79′A goal for Yelimay Semey 2 on 78′ — 6–1. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Astana II 6–1 Yelimay Semey 2
- 80′7 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 6–1 · 100–0–0
- 93′Astana II score on 90′ to make it 7–1. 7–1 · 100–0–0
- 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Astana II 7–1 Yelimay Semey 2
- FTFULL TIME Astana II 7–1 Yelimay Semey 2
- FTAstana II 7–1 Yelimay Semey 2 · Astana II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAstana II are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Astana II 63%, draw 18%, Yelimay Semey 2 19%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 63%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off
Astana II win63%
Yelimay Semey 2 win19%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 25
Match timeline
All events
Astana IIMIN
Yelimay Semey 2Events will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Astana II
Yelimay Semey 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Astana II a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astana II win | 63% | – | – |
| Draw | 18% | – | – |
| Yelimay Semey 2 win | 19% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 63% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 49% | – | – |
| Astana II or draw | 81% | – | – |
| Astana II clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Yelimay Semey 2 clean sheet | 10% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 20 Aug
ASTANA II
YELIMAY SEMEY 2
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | +58 | 65 |
| 2 | Sport Academy Kairat | 24 | +54 | 57 |
| 3 | Turan Turkistan | 24 | +30 | 51 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 24 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Astana II | 24 | −7 | 33 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 24 | −5 | 32 |
| 7 | Taraz | 24 | −2 | 31 |
| 8 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 24 | −6 | 28 |
| 9 | Arys | 24 | −13 | 27 |
| 10 | Ekibastuz | 24 | −22 | 27 |
| 11 | Khan Tengri | 24 | −15 | 26 |
| 12 | Aktobe Jas | 24 | −31 | 24 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 24 | −17 | 17 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 24 | −31 | 12 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Shakhter Karagandy
Sport Academy Kairat
Turan Turkistan
Akademiya Ontustik
Jaiyq
Taraz
Kaspij Aktau 2
Arys
Ekibastuz
Khan Tengri
Aktobe Jas
Tobol 2