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Astana II v Yelimay Semey 2

Astana II
7–1Full time
Yelimay Semey 2

1. Division · THU 15 OCT

Full timeGraded 15 Oct 14:30
Astana II 7–1 Yelimay Semey 2 ASTANA II WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Astana II win63%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.203

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 14 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Astana II win at 63%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Astana II 63% before kick-off, 63% now. 0–0 · 63–19–18
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Astana II v Yelimay Semey 2
  4. 13′A goal for Astana II on 13′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 81–12–7
  5. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Astana II 1–0 Yelimay Semey 2
  6. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Astana II win: 63% at kick-off, 81% now
  7. 14′We said Astana II at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–12–7
  8. 17′Astana II score on 17′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 93–5–2
  9. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Astana II 2–0 Yelimay Semey 2
  10. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Astana II win: 63% at kick-off, 93% now
  11. 18′We said Astana II at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 2–0 · 94–5–2
  12. 31′Astana II find the net on 31′. 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
  13. 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Astana II 3–0 Yelimay Semey 2
  14. 32′We said Astana II at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–0 · 99–1–0
  15. 44′A goal for Astana II on 43′ — 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  16. 44′⚽ GOAL · 43' Astana II 4–0 Yelimay Semey 2
  17. 45′We said Astana II at 63% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  18. 45′HALF-TIME Astana II 4–0 Yelimay Semey 2
  19. 46′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 4–0 · 100–0–0
  20. 46′SECOND HALF Astana II 4–0 Yelimay Semey 2
  21. 61′5 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  22. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Astana II 5–0 Yelimay Semey 2
  23. 62′Astana II score on 61′ to make it 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
  24. 70′Astana II find the net on 69′. 6–0. 6–0 · 100–0–0
  25. 70′⚽ GOAL · 69' Astana II 6–0 Yelimay Semey 2
  26. 71′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 6–0 · 100–0–0
  27. 79′A goal for Yelimay Semey 2 on 78′ — 6–1. 6–1 · 100–0–0
  28. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Astana II 6–1 Yelimay Semey 2
  29. 80′7 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 6–1 · 100–0–0
  30. 93′Astana II score on 90′ to make it 7–1. 7–1 · 100–0–0
  31. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Astana II 7–1 Yelimay Semey 2
  32. FTFULL TIME Astana II 7–1 Yelimay Semey 2
  33. FTAstana II 7–1 Yelimay Semey 2 · Astana II win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Astana II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Astana II 63%, draw 18%, Yelimay Semey 2 19%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Astana II v Yelimay Semey 2Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off

Astana II win63%
Draw18%
Yelimay Semey 2 win19%

Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Astana II

Yelimay Semey 2

7Days since last match7
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Astana II24−733
14Yelimay Semey 224−3112

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · astana ii winFirst published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off
63% The market–
Us63%

We make Astana II a 63% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Astana II v Yelimay Semey 22.42 – 1.24
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 20 AugW2 D1 L3 · W0 D0 L6
Table places · points 33 v 125 v 14

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Astana II win63%––
Draw18%––
Yelimay Semey 2 win19%––
Over 2.5 goals70%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals49%––
Astana II or draw81%––
Astana II clean sheet30%––
Yelimay Semey 2 clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%
0123450 2.5 3.9 2.1 1 7.0 7.4 4.8 2.0 2 7.5 9.0 5.5 2.3 3 6.0 7.1 4.3 4 3.7 4.3 2.6 5 2.2
under 2% 5% 12%+Astana II down, Yelimay Semey 2 across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsYEL 2–1 AST

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 20 Aug

ASTANA II

LLWDWL0–4 · 0–3 · 4–0 · 2–2 · 7–1 · 0–6

YELIMAY SEMEY 2

LLLLLL2–5 · 0–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 2–3

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Shakhter Karagandy24+5865
2Sport Academy Kairat24+5457
3Turan Turkistan24+3051
4Akademiya Ontustik24+743
5Astana II24−733
6Jaiyq24−532
7Taraz24−231
8Kaspij Aktau 224−628
9Arys24−1327
10Ekibastuz24−2227
11Khan Tengri24−1526
12Aktobe Jas24−3124
13Tobol 224−1717
14Yelimay Semey 224−3112

The competition's standings before kick-off.