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Akademiya Ontustik v Turan Turkistan

Akademiya Ontustik
0–2Full time
Turan Turkistan

1. Division · THU 22 OCT

Full timeGraded 22 Oct 13:00
Akademiya Ontustik 0–2 Turan Turkistan TURAN TURKISTAN WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Turan Turkistan win47%
The market said37%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.422
The market’s Brier score0.611

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 6 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Turan Turkistan win at 47%.
  2. 6′A goal for Turan Turkistan on 1′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 11–18–71
  3. 6′We said Turan Turkistan at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 11–18–71
  4. 17′Turan Turkistan score on 17′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 3–7–90
  5. 17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Akademiya Ontustik 0–2 Turan Turkistan
  6. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 17' Turan Turkistan win: 47% at kick-off, 90% now
  7. 18′We said Turan Turkistan at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–2 · 3–7–90
  8. 20′19′: O. Makhan on the scoresheet for Turan Turkistan, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 3–7–91
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Akademiya Ontustik 0–2 Turan Turkistan
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Akademiya Ontustik 0–2 Turan Turkistan
  11. 49′We said Turan Turkistan at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–5–95
  12. 55′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–2 · 1–4–95
  13. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Turan Turkistan win: 47% at kick-off, 97% now
  14. 83′We said Turan Turkistan at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  15. FTFULL TIME Akademiya Ontustik 0–2 Turan Turkistan
  16. FTAkademiya Ontustik 0–2 Turan Turkistan · Turan Turkistan win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Turan Turkistan are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Akademiya Ontustik 29%, draw 24%, Turan Turkistan 47%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Akademiya Ontustik v Turan TurkistanBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 16 Oct 00:00 · locked at kick-off

Akademiya Ontustik win29%
Draw24%
Turan Turkistan win47%

Kick-offTHU 22 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 26

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Akademiya Ontustik

Turan Turkistan

7Days since last match6

Last match: 15 Oct · the Kazakh 1. Division

Last match: 16 Oct · the Kazakh 1. Division

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Turan Turkistan25+3154
4Akademiya Ontustik25+643

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · turan turkistan winFirst published 16 Oct 00:00 · updated 17 Oct 00:13 · locked at kick-off
47% The market37%
Us47%
Market37%

We make Turan Turkistan a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 37%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Akademiya Ontustik v Turan Turkistan1.14 – 1.53
Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 27 AugW3 D1 L2 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 43 v 544 v 3
The market · Turan Turkistan win37% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 16 OCT 00:0022 OCT 09:37
Our probability · Turan Turkistan win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Akademiya Ontustik win29%39%−10
Draw24%24%0
Turan Turkistan win47%37%+10
Over 2.5 goals49%59%−10
Both teams to score51%61%−10
Over 1.5 goals73%––
Over 3.5 goals28%36%−8
Akademiya Ontustik or draw53%63%−10
Akademiya Ontustik clean sheet22%––
Turan Turkistan clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.6%
0123450 6.7 11.6 8.1 4.2 1 8.7 10.9 8.8 4.5 2 4.5 6.6 5.0 2.6 3 2.6 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Akademiya Ontustik down, Turan Turkistan across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2023
Goals a meeting4.33
Over 2.53 of 3
Both scored2 of 3
Last meetingsTUR 1–2 AKA · TUR 3–2 AKA · AKA 0–5 TUR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 1. Division this season · since 27 Aug

AKADEMIYA ONTUSTIK

WWWDLL2–1 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–1

TURAN TURKISTAN

WWWWDW4–2 · 3–0 · 3–1 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 1–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Shakhter Karagandy25+5765
2Sport Academy Kairat25+5660
3Turan Turkistan25+3154
4Akademiya Ontustik25+643
5Astana II25−136
6Taraz25+334
7Jaiyq25−832
8Arys25−1230
9Khan Tengri25−1429
10Kaspij Aktau 225−1128
11Ekibastuz25−2427
12Aktobe Jas25−3224
13Tobol 225−1420
14Yelimay Semey 225−3712

The competition's standings before kick-off.