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Model 1.2

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Al Salt v Al Ramtha

Al Salt
0–0Full time
Al Ramtha

League · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 18:02
Al Salt 0–0 Al Ramtha AL RAMTHA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Ramtha win38%
The market said32%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.716
The market’s Brier score0.741

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay8 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Ramtha win at 38%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Ramtha 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 31–31–38
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Salt v Al Ramtha
  4. 29′THE CALL SWINGS · 29' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Al Ramtha win 36%)
  5. 45′HALF-TIME Al Salt 0–0 Al Ramtha
  6. 45′SECOND HALF Al Salt 0–0 Al Ramtha
  7. 48′Al Salt are down to ten from 45′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 24–48–29
  8. 48′🟥 RED CARD · 48' Al Salt
  9. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Al Ramtha win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
  10. 54′We said Al Ramtha at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 22–51–26
  11. 59′We said Al Ramtha at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 20–55–24
  12. 68′We said Al Ramtha at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 16–64–19
  13. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Al Ramtha win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
  14. 76′We said Al Ramtha at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 12–74–14
  15. 82′We said Al Ramtha at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–84–9
  16. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Al Ramtha win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
  17. 89′We said Al Ramtha at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
  18. FTFULL TIME Al Salt 0–0 Al Ramtha
  19. FTAl Salt 0–0 Al Ramtha · Al Ramtha win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Ramtha are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Salt 31%, draw 31%, Al Ramtha 38%. Over 2.5 goals 35%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Al Salt v Al RamthaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Salt win31%
Draw31%
Al Ramtha win38%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Salt

Al Ramtha

7Days since last match6

Last match: 16 Oct · League

Last match: 17 Oct · League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Al Ramtha5−18
7Al Salt5−15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al ramtha winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 18 Oct 00:18 · locked at kick-off
38% The market32%
Us38%
Market32%

We make Al Ramtha a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 32%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.0–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Salt v Al Ramtha0.97 – 1.12
Form · League this season · since 4 SeptW1 D2 L2 · W2 D2 L1
Table places · points 5 v 87 v 5
The market · Al Ramtha win32% · ours 38%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 14:40
Our probability · Al Ramtha win The market, margin stripped

Published at 39%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 32% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Salt win31%38%−7
Draw31%30%+1
Al Ramtha win38%32%+6
Over 2.5 goals35%42%−7
Both teams to score42%49%−7
Over 1.5 goals62%67%−5
Over 3.5 goals16%23%−7
Al Salt or draw62%68%−6
Al Salt clean sheet33%––
Al Ramtha clean sheet38%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.7%
0123450 13.2 13.3 7.7 2.9 1 11.4 13.7 7.4 2.8 2 5.8 6.4 3.6 3 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Salt down, Al Ramtha across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.10
Over 2.52 of 10
Both scored4 of 10
Last meetingsALS 2–3 ALR · ALR 0–1 ALS · ALS 1–1 ALR · ALR 0–1 ALS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · League this season · since 4 Sept

AL SALT

WDLLD3–1 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–0

AL RAMTHA

DWWDL1–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–4

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Faisaly5+1013
2Al Jazeera5+88
3Al Wihdat5+18
4Al Buqa'a508
5Al Ramtha5−18
6Al Hussein6−28
7Al Salt5−15
8Al Arabi5−54
9Doqarah6−64
10Shabab Al Ordon5−43

The competition's standings before kick-off.