Al Salt v Al Jazeera prediction · League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al SaltDrawAl Jazeera

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Al Salt 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Al Salt just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Salt 37%, draw 29%, Al Jazeera 34%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Al Salt v Al JazeeraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Al Salt win37%

Draw29%

Al Jazeera win34%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Salt

Al Jazeera

6Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Al Jazeera	6	+8	9
7	Al Salt	6	−1	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al salt winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Al Salt a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Salt v Al Jazeera~~1.24 – 1.16

~~Form · League this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D3 L2 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 9~~7 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Al Salt win

Published at 38%, 37% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Salt win	37%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Al Jazeera win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Al Salt or draw	66%	–	–
Al Salt clean sheet	32%	–	–
Al Jazeera clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 9.9 10.0 6.1 2.4 1 10.7 13.4 7.4 2.9 2 7.0 7.9 4.6 3 2.9 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Salt down, Al Jazeera across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 693 League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: League matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.0% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.90 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al Salt at home: 0.33 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Al Jazeera away: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.24 goals for Al Salt, 1.16 for Al Jazeera. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.90

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ALJ 1–1 ALS · ALS 0–4 ALJ · ALJ 1–0 ALS · ALS 1–0 ALJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · League this season · since 5 Sept

AL SALT

WDLLDD3–1 · 0–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–0

AL JAZEERA

WDDLWD5–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 5–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Faisaly	6	+10	14
2	Al Buqa'a	6	+2	11
3	Al Wihdat	6	+2	11
4	Al Jazeera	6	+8	9
5	Al Ramtha	6	−1	9
6	Al Hussein	6	−2	8
7	Al Salt	6	−1	6
8	Doqarah	6	−6	4
9	Al Arabi	6	−7	4
10	Shabab Al Ordon	6	−5	3