Home › Football › League › Al Salt v Al Faisaly

Al Salt v Al Faisaly

Al Salt

0–1Full time

Al Faisaly

League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 20:02

Al Salt 0–1 Al Faisaly AL FAISALY WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Al Faisaly win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.314

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 21 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Al Faisaly win at 54%.
1′Much as we predicted: Al Faisaly was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 19–25–55
1′KICK-OFF Al Salt v Al Faisaly
2′Much as we predicted: Al Faisaly was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 19–26–55
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 49% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 49% now
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 49% now
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 49% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
45′SECOND HALF Al Salt 0–0 Al Faisaly
46′We said Al Faisaly at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 18–41–41
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 49% now
46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
47′⚽ GOAL · 48' Al Salt 0–0 Al Faisaly
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Al Faisaly win: 54% at kick-off, 43% now
97′⚽ GOAL · 97' Al Salt 0–1 Al Faisaly · A. Ersan
FTFULL TIME Al Salt 0–1 Al Faisaly
FTAl Salt 0–1 Al Faisaly · Al Faisaly win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Al Salt win19%

Draw26%

Al Faisaly win54%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 17:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al faisaly winPublished 10 Oct 17:54

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Al Faisaly a 54% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.6, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Salt win	19%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Al Faisaly win	54%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Al Salt or draw	46%	–	–
Al Salt clean sheet	21%	–	–
Al Faisaly clean sheet	44%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.8%

0123450 10.0 13.8 11.2 5.9 2.4 1 6.9 12.2 9.0 4.8 2 3.1 4.8 3.7 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Salt down, Al Faisaly across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 681 League matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

League matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

11 previous meetings, 2.36 goals a meeting; 5 of 11 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al Salt at home: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Al Faisaly away: 1.17 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.82 goals for Al Salt, 1.58 for Al Faisaly. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

11 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.36

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 11

~~Both scored~~6 of 11

~~Last meetings~~ALS 0–1 ALF · ALS 1–2 ALF · ALF 2–1 ALS · ALF 1–1 ALS

Form · last six in League

AL SALT

WDDWDL3–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 3–1 · 0–0 · 0–2

AL FAISALY

DWLDWW2–2 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 2–0 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Faisaly	3	+6	7
2	Al Ramtha	3	+2	7
3	Al Buqa'a	4	0	7
4	Al Jazeera	4	+4	5
5	Al Wihdat	4	0	5
6	Al Hussein	4	−2	5
7	Al Salt	3	0	4
8	Doqarah	3	−1	3
9	Shabab Al Ordon	4	−3	3
10	Al Arabi	4	−6	1