Al Ramtha v Al Buqa'a prediction · League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al RamthaDrawAl Buqa'a

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Al Ramtha 55%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Ramtha are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Ramtha 55%, draw 23%, Al Buqa'a 22%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Al Ramtha v Al Buqa'aBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Al Ramtha win55%

Draw23%

Al Buqa'a win22%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Ramtha

Al Buqa'a

7Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · League

Last match: 24 Oct · League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Al Buqa'a	6	+2	11
5	Al Ramtha	6	−1	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al ramtha winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:20 · locked at kick-off

55% The market–

Us55%

We make Al Ramtha a 55% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Ramtha v Al Buqa'a~~1.88 – 1.08

~~Form · League this season · since 3 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 11~~5 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Al Ramtha win

Published at 57%, 55% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Ramtha win	55%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Al Buqa'a win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Al Ramtha or draw	78%	–	–
Al Ramtha clean sheet	35%	–	–
Al Buqa'a clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.9%

0123450 5.9 5.3 3.2 1 9.4 10.9 5.6 2.1 2 9.1 9.5 5.1 3 5.7 5.9 3.2 4 2.8 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Ramtha down, Al Buqa'a across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 693 League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: League matches have gone over 2.5 in 30.0% of games this season, across 30 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2021 in every competition we cover, 3.33 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al Ramtha at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Al Buqa'a away: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.88 goals for Al Ramtha, 1.08 for Al Buqa'a. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.33

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~ALR 5–2 ALB · ALB 2–2 ALR · ALB 1–2 ALR · ALR 3–0 ALB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · League this season · since 3 Sept

AL RAMTHA

DWWDLD1–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–4 · 0–0

AL BUQA'A

WDLWDW1–0 · 0–0 · 0–4 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Faisaly	6	+10	14
2	Al Buqa'a	6	+2	11
3	Al Wihdat	6	+2	11
4	Al Jazeera	6	+8	9
5	Al Ramtha	6	−1	9
6	Al Hussein	6	−2	8
7	Al Salt	6	−1	6
8	Doqarah	6	−6	4
9	Al Arabi	6	−7	4
10	Shabab Al Ordon	6	−5	3