Al Jazeera v Al Faisaly

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Faisaly win at 60%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Al Faisaly was 60% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 18–23–59
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Jazeera v Al Faisaly
4. 2′Al Jazeera find the net on 2′. 1–0. 1–0 · 41–24–35
5. 2′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 1–0 · 41–24–35
6. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Al Jazeera 1–0 Al Faisaly
7. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' Al Faisaly win: 60% at kick-off, 35% now
8. 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Al Jazeera win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Al Faisaly win 59%)
9. 5′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–0 · 41–24–34
10. 7′A goal for Al Faisaly on 7′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 18–24–58
11. 7′⚽ GOAL · 7' Al Jazeera 1–1 Al Faisaly
12. 7′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 7' Al Faisaly win: 60% at kick-off, 58% now
13. 7′THE CALL SWINGS · 7' Al Faisaly win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Al Jazeera win 42%)
14. 29′We published Al Faisaly at 60%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–2 · 5–13–82
15. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Al Jazeera 1–2 Al Faisaly
16. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Al Faisaly win: 60% at kick-off, 82% now
17. 30′Al Faisaly score on 29′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 5–13–82
18. 31′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 5–13–82
19. 35′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 18–32–50
20. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Al Jazeera 2–2 Al Faisaly
21. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Al Faisaly win: 60% at kick-off, 50% now
22. 36′Al Jazeera find the net on 35′. 2–2. 2–2 · 18–32–50
23. 40′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 48%. 2–2 · 18–34–48
24. 45′HALF-TIME Al Jazeera 2–2 Al Faisaly
25. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Al Faisaly win: 60% at kick-off, 46% now
26. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Al Faisaly win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Draw 46%)
27. 49′SECOND HALF Al Jazeera 2–2 Al Faisaly
28. 50′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 2–2 · 17–39–44
29. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Al Faisaly win: 60% at kick-off, 40% now
30. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Al Faisaly win 42%)
31. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Al Faisaly win: 60% at kick-off, 30% now
32. 70′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 13–58–29
33. 75′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 11–66–24
34. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' Al Faisaly win: 60% at kick-off, 20% now
35. 79′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 9–73–19
36. 82′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–2 · 7–79–14
37. 83′Al Jazeera find the net on 83′. 2–2 · 6–81–13
38. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Al Faisaly win: 60% at kick-off, 10% now
39. 87′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 4–87–9
40. 92′We said Al Faisaly at 60%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 2–94–4
41. FTFULL TIME Al Jazeera 2–2 Al Faisaly
42. FTAl Jazeera 2–2 Al Faisaly · Al Faisaly win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.