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Al Hussein v Al Arabi

Al Hussein
4–1Full time
Al Arabi

League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 17:33
Al Hussein 4–1 Al Arabi AL HUSSEIN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Hussein win74%
The market said76%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.106
The market’s Brier score0.087

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Al Hussein win74%
Draw17%
Al Arabi win9%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al hussein winPublished 9 Oct 15:04
74% The market76%
Us74%
Market76%

We make Al Hussein a 74% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.5–0.7.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 9 OCT 06:199 OCT 12:08
Our probability · al hussein win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 76% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Hussein win74%76%−3
Draw17%16%0
Al Arabi win9%7%+2
Over 2.5 goals60%59%+1
Both teams to score45%42%+3
Over 1.5 goals82%79%+2
Over 3.5 goals39%39%0
Al Hussein or draw91%93%−2
Al Hussein clean sheet51%––
Al Arabi clean sheet10%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.2%
0123450 5.2 2.9 1 10.1 7.8 2.8 2 12.2 8.3 3.0 3 9.9 6.5 2.3 4 6.4 4.0 5 3.6 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Hussein down, Al Arabi across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in League

AL HUSSEIN

DWWLDD1–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–5 · 0–0 · 3–3

AL ARABI

LLD1–3 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Faisaly3+67
2Al Ramtha3+27
3Al Buqa'a407
4Al Jazeera3+55
5Al Salt304
6Doqarah3−13
7Shabab Al Ordon4−33
8Al Wihdat3−12
9Al Hussein3−52
10Al Arabi3−31

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.