Al Buqa'a v Al Salt
Al Buqa'aAl SaltLeague · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Salt win at 46%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Salt 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 30–24–46
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Buqa'a v Al Salt
- 45′HALF-TIME Al Buqa'a 0–0 Al Salt
- 46′SECOND HALF Al Buqa'a 0–0 Al Salt
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+3' Al Salt win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
- 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Al Salt win 35%)
- 53′We said Al Salt at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 25–41–34
- 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 24–43–33
- 63′We said Al Salt at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 21–49–29
- 65′PENALTY MISSED · 64' Al Buqa'a
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Al Salt win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
- 71′We said Al Salt at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 18–59–24
- 76′We said Al Salt at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 15–66–19
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Al Salt win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
- 81′We said Al Salt at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 10–76–14
- 85′We said Al Salt at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–84–9
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Al Salt win: 46% at kick-off, 6% now
- 91′We said Al Salt at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Al Buqa'a 0–0 Al Salt
- FTAl Buqa'a 0–0 Al Salt · Al Salt win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAl Salt are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Buqa'a 30%, draw 25%, Al Salt 46%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Al Buqa'a win30%Al Salt win46%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 17:30
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Al Buqa'aMINAl SaltEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Buqa'a
Al Salt
Last match: 8 Oct · League
Last match: 10 Oct · League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Al Buqa'a | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Al Salt | 4 | −1 | 4 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Al Salt a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 42%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Buqa'a win | 30% | 28% | +2 |
| Draw | 25% | 30% | −5 |
| Al Salt win | 46% | 42% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 44% | +13 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 50% | +9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 68% | +12 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 24% | +11 |
| Al Buqa'a or draw | 54% | 58% | −4 |
| Al Buqa'a clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| Al Salt clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · League this season · since 3 Sept
AL BUQA'A
AL SALT
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Faisaly | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 |  Al Ramtha | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 | Al Buqa'a | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Al Jazeera | 4 | +4 | 5 |
| 5 |  Al Wihdat | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 |  Al Hussein | 4 | −2 | 5 |
| 7 | Al Salt | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Doqarah | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Al Arabi | 5 | −5 | 4 |
| 10 |  Shabab Al Ordon | 5 | −4 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.