Al Arabi v Shabab Al Ordon
Al ArabiShabab Al OrdonLeague · THU 15 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Shabab Al Ordon win at 40%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Shabab Al Ordon 40% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 32–28–41
- 1′KICK-OFF Al Arabi v Shabab Al Ordon
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Shabab Al Ordon win 34%)
- 45′HALF-TIME Al Arabi 0–0 Shabab Al Ordon
- 45′SECOND HALF Al Arabi 0–0 Shabab Al Ordon
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Shabab Al Ordon win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
- 56′We said Shabab Al Ordon at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 23–49–28
- 56′Goalless on 56′ when we expected about 2.4 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 23–49–28
- 64′We said Shabab Al Ordon at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 20–56–24
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Shabab Al Ordon win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
- 72′We said Shabab Al Ordon at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 16–65–19
- 78′We said Shabab Al Ordon at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 12–74–14
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Shabab Al Ordon win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
- 83′We said Shabab Al Ordon at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 8–84–9
- 90′We said Shabab Al Ordon at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- 90′1–0 at the end. Our 40% on Shabab Al Ordon misses, and the record keeps it. 1–0 · 100–0–0
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Al Arabi 1–0 Shabab Al Ordon
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Shabab Al Ordon win: 40% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Al Arabi win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
- 91′Al Arabi score on 90′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 97–3–0
- 93′89′: M. Obeidat on the scoresheet for Al Arabi, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 98–2–0
- FTFULL TIME Al Arabi 1–0 Shabab Al Ordon
- FTAl Arabi 1–0 Shabab Al Ordon · Shabab Al Ordon win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassShabab Al Ordon are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Al Arabi 32%, draw 28%, Shabab Al Ordon 40%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 9 Oct 07:15 · locked at kick-off
Al Arabi win32%Shabab Al Ordon win40%Kick-offTHU 15 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 5
Match timeline
All events
Al ArabiMINShabab Al OrdonEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Al Arabi
Shabab Al Ordon
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shabab Al Ordon | 4 | −3 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 4 | −6 | 1 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Shabab Al Ordon a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 39%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.1–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 38%, 40% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 39% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Arabi win | 32% | 31% | +1 |
| Draw | 28% | 30% | −2 |
| Shabab Al Ordon win | 40% | 39% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 45% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 51% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 69% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 25% | −2 |
| Al Arabi or draw | 60% | 61% | −1 |
| Al Arabi clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Shabab Al Ordon clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2026/27No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · League this season · since 4 Sept
AL ARABI
SHABAB AL ORDON
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Faisaly | 4 | +7 | 10 |
| 2 |  Al Ramtha | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Al Buqa'a | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 |  Al Jazeera | 4 | +4 | 5 |
| 5 |  Al Wihdat | 4 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 |  Al Hussein | 4 | −2 | 5 |
| 7 |  Al Salt | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Doqarah | 4 | −1 | 4 |
| 9 | Shabab Al Ordon | 4 | −3 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 4 | −6 | 1 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.