Al Arabi v Al Buqa'a

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Al Buqa'a win at 38%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Al Buqa'a 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 37–25–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Al Arabi v Al Buqa'a
4. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Al Buqa'a win 34%)
5. 45′HALF-TIME Al Arabi 0–0 Al Buqa'a
6. 46′SECOND HALF Al Arabi 0–0 Al Buqa'a
7. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 28–43–29
8. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Al Buqa'a win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
9. 61′We said Al Buqa'a at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 26–47–26
10. 66′A goal for Al Buqa'a on 65′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 4–19–76
11. 66′We said Al Buqa'a at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 0–1 · 4–19–76
12. 66′⚽ GOAL · 65' Al Arabi 0–1 Al Buqa'a
13. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Al Buqa'a win: 38% at kick-off, 76% now
14. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Al Buqa'a win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 51%)
15. 69′Al Buqa'a score on 69′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–3–96
16. 69′We said Al Buqa'a at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 0–2 · 0–3–96
17. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Al Buqa'a win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
18. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Al Arabi 0–2 Al Buqa'a
19. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Al Buqa'a win: 38% at kick-off, 96% now
20. 70′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–2 · 0–3–97
21. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Al Buqa'a win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
22. 84′We said Al Buqa'a at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
23. FTFULL TIME Al Arabi 0–2 Al Buqa'a
24. FTAl Arabi 0–2 Al Buqa'a · Al Buqa'a win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.