Urawa Reds W v Sanfrecce Hiroshima W prediction · WE League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Urawa Reds WDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Urawa Reds W 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Urawa Reds W are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Urawa Reds W 53%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 23%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Urawa Reds W v Sanfrecce Hiroshima WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Urawa Reds W win53%

Draw25%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W win23%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 10:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueUrawa Komaba Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Urawa Reds W

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

4Days since last match10

Last match: 24 Oct · WE League

Last match: 18 Oct · WE League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · urawa reds w winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Urawa Reds W a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Urawa Reds W v Sanfrecce Hiroshima W~~1.52 – 0.88

~~Form · WE League this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D0 L1 · W2 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 6~~1 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Urawa Reds W win	53%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Urawa Reds W or draw	77%	–	–
Urawa Reds W clean sheet	42%	–	–
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.5%

0123450 8.7 8.8 3.6 1 14.5 11.2 5.3 2 10.3 8.9 4.0 3 5.3 4.6 2.0 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Urawa Reds W down, Sanfrecce Hiroshima W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 644 WE League matches up to 21 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: WE League matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.10 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Urawa Reds W at home: 2.83 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Sanfrecce Hiroshima W away: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Urawa Reds W, 0.88 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.10

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SAN 2–1 URA · URA 0–0 SAN · SAN 0–0 URA · URA 2–1 SAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · WE League this season · since 22 Aug

URAWA REDS W

WWWLW1–0 · 5–1 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 2–0

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA W

LWWL1–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Urawa Reds W	5	+8	12
2	Tokyo Verdy Beleza W	5	+6	12
3	JEF United W	6	+2	12
4	INAC Kobe Leonessa W	7	+1	10
5	Nojima Stella W	6	−5	8
6	Vegalta Sendai W	6	−2	7
7	Elfen Saitama W	6	−2	7
8	Sanfrecce Hiroshima W	4	+1	6
9	Cerezo Osaka W	4	+1	5
10	Albirex Niigata W	6	−2	5
11	Parceiro Nagano W	5	−4	3
12	Omiya Ardija Ventus W	4	−4	3