Sanfrecce Hiroshima W v Parceiro Nagano W prediction · WE League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima WDrawParceiro Nagano W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 05:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 66%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 66%, draw 20%, Parceiro Nagano W 14%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Sanfrecce Hiroshima W v Parceiro Nagano WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W win66%

Draw20%

Parceiro Nagano W win14%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 05:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueHiroshima Koiki Park Football

Line-ups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

4-3-3

Parceiro Nagano W

4-3-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Parceiro Nagano W

7Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct · WE League

Last match: 17 Oct · WE League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Sanfrecce Hiroshima W	4	+1	6
11	Parceiro Nagano W	5	−4	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

4-3-3

32 I. Hinaha

18 M. Watanabe

15 N. Fujiu

23 F. Yanase

4 Kanako Asakura

8 A. Ogawa

6 M. Sayama

9 M. Ueno

11 Y. Nakashima

10 C. Takizawa

30 R. Song

Coach · Shuichi Akai

Substitutes

27 · Rie Usui

3 · E. Goya

16 · M. Hayama

7 · M. Ito

29 · A. Kasahara

28 · H. Koga

14 · M. Matsumoto

Parceiro Nagano W

4-3-3

1 M. Umemura

17 Miyu Daiko

34 K. Suzuki

27 Ayaka Osajima

5 Rei Tachibana

15 c. Nanao

25 C. Okugawa

7 S. Mitani

14 Runa Shiotani

33 M. Yoshino

23 Matsuura Meiko

Coach · R. Hirose

Substitutes

18 · Mika Machida

21 · Aina Kakiuchi

9 · Y. Inamura

20 · Yura Matsuoka

19 · T. Koharu

24 · Yurina Tsukazaki

6 · Mayu Tsuneta

Our number · sanfrecce hiroshima w winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

66% The market–

Us66%

We make Sanfrecce Hiroshima W a 66% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sanfrecce Hiroshima W v Parceiro Nagano W~~1.97 – 0.74

~~Form · WE League this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D0 L2 · W0 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 6 v 3~~8 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W win	66%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Parceiro Nagano W win	14%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W or draw	86%	–	–
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W clean sheet	48%	–	–
Parceiro Nagano W clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.7%

0123450 6.4 5.6 1 13.7 9.1 3.6 2 12.7 9.2 3.5 3 8.3 6.0 2.3 4 4.2 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Sanfrecce Hiroshima W down, Parceiro Nagano W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 648 WE League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: WE League matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.4% of games this season, across 32 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W at home: 2.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Parceiro Nagano W away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.97 goals for Sanfrecce Hiroshima W, 0.74 for Parceiro Nagano W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~PAR 1–5 SAN · SAN 1–0 PAR · SAN 1–0 PAR · PAR 1–0 SAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · WE League this season · since 22 Aug

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA W

LWWL1–2 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 2–3

PARCEIRO NAGANO W

LLDDD1–2 · 1–4 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Urawa Reds W	5	+8	12
2	Tokyo Verdy Beleza W	5	+6	12
3	JEF United W	6	+2	12
4	INAC Kobe Leonessa W	7	+1	10
5	Nojima Stella W	6	−5	8
6	Vegalta Sendai W	6	−2	7
7	Elfen Saitama W	6	−2	7
8	Sanfrecce Hiroshima W	4	+1	6
9	Cerezo Osaka W	4	+1	5
10	Albirex Niigata W	6	−2	5
11	Parceiro Nagano W	5	−4	3
12	Omiya Ardija Ventus W	4	−4	3