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JEF United W v Urawa Reds W

JEF United W
2–1Full time
Urawa Reds W

WE League · SUN 18 OCT · Fukuda Denshi Arena

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 07:30
JEF United W 2–1 Urawa Reds W URAWA REDS W WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Urawa Reds W win66%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.222

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Urawa Reds W win at 66%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Urawa Reds W 66% before kick-off, 66% now. 0–0 · 14–20–66
  3. 1′KICK-OFF JEF United W v Urawa Reds W
  4. 13′JEF United W score on 12′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 37–28–35
  5. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' JEF United W 1–0 Urawa Reds W
  6. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Urawa Reds W win: 66% at kick-off, 35% now
  7. 15′We said Urawa Reds W at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–0 · 38–28–34
  8. 17′THE CALL SWINGS · 17' JEF United W win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Urawa Reds W win 33%)
  9. 25′We said Urawa Reds W at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 41–29–29
  10. 27′Urawa Reds W level it on 26′ through Hana Takahashi. 1–1. 1–1 · 14–28–58
  11. 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' JEF United W 1–1 Urawa Reds W · Hana Takahashi
  12. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Urawa Reds W win: 66% at kick-off, 58% now
  13. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Urawa Reds W win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was JEF United W win 14%)
  14. 38′We said Urawa Reds W at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 1–1 · 14–33–53
  15. 39′We said Urawa Reds W at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 2–1 · 47–30–23
  16. 39′⚽ GOAL · 39' JEF United W 2–1 Urawa Reds W
  17. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Urawa Reds W win: 66% at kick-off, 23% now
  18. 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' JEF United W win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Urawa Reds W win 23%)
  19. 40′Ayaka Inoue scores for JEF United W on 39′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 48–30–22
  20. 42′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 49–30–21
  21. 45′HALF-TIME JEF United W 2–1 Urawa Reds W
  22. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Urawa Reds W · On: Akimi Kawafune · Off: Sunshine Fontes
  23. 46′We said Urawa Reds W at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–1 · 51–30–19
  24. 46′SECOND HALF JEF United W 2–1 Urawa Reds W
  25. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Urawa Reds W win: 66% at kick-off, 16% now
  26. 54′We said Urawa Reds W at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 56–30–14
  27. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Urawa Reds W · On: Madoka Sakurai · Off: Easther Mayi Kith
  28. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Urawa Reds W · On: Wakana Onishi · Off: Chika Kato
  29. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Urawa Reds W · On: Ririka Tanno · Off: Laurie Teinturier
  30. 64′We said Urawa Reds W at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 64–27–9
  31. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' JEF United W · On: Hinata Kobayashi · Off: Makoto Hasuwa
  32. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' JEF United W · On: Sakura Masuda · Off: Miyu Inayama
  33. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Urawa Reds W win: 66% at kick-off, 6% now
  34. 74′We said Urawa Reds W at 66%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–1 · 74–22–4
  35. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' JEF United W · On: Mariko Tanaka · Off: Kanae Hayashi
  36. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Urawa Reds W · On: Ena Takatsuka · Off: Nonoka Nagao
  37. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' JEF United W · On: Runa Masano · Off: Amyu Hirai
  38. FTFULL TIME JEF United W 2–1 Urawa Reds W
  39. FTJEF United W 2–1 Urawa Reds W · Urawa Reds W win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Urawa Reds W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: JEF United W 14%, draw 20%, Urawa Reds W 66%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on JEF United W v Urawa Reds WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

JEF United W win14%
Draw20%
Urawa Reds W win66%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 05:00

RoundMatchday 4

VenueFukuda Denshi Arena

Line-ups

JEF United W

Urawa Reds W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

JEF United W

Urawa Reds W

43Days since last match43

Last match: 5 Sept · WE League

Last match: 5 Sept · WE League

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Urawa Reds W3+79
8JEF United W3−13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

JEF United W

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Shimizu

99 Sumire Suzuki

17 C. Yamaguchi

4 K. Hayashi

3 N. Ishida

6 M. Hasuwa

14 Ami Uemoto

18 M. Inayama

10 Y. Ogawa

15 A. Hirai

9 A. Inoue

Coach · I. Castillo

Substitutes

20 · Runa Masano

8 · H. Kobayashi

84 · Ami Kitazawa

16 · Ella Johnson

30 · Kaede Adachi

25 · S. Masuda

5 · Mariko Tanaka

Urawa Reds W

Formation not confirmed

12 S. Fukuda

21 Laurie Teinturier

13 R. Nagashima

2 E. Mayi Kith

30 Nonoka Nagao

5 M. Ito

14 M. Kikuchi

6 C. Kato

7 H. Takahashi

19 Sunshine Fontes

8 K. Sakakibara

Coach · N. Kusunose

Substitutes

22 · K. Akimoto

1 · S. Ikeda

11 · A. Kawafune

16 · W. Onishi

28 · M. Sakurai

20 · E. Takatsuka

26 · R. Tanno

Our number · urawa reds w winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
66% The market–
Us66%

We make Urawa Reds W a 66% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–1.9, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · JEF United W v Urawa Reds W0.68 – 1.89
Form · WE League this season · since 22 AugW1 D0 L2 · W3 D0 L0
Table places · points 3 v 98 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
JEF United W win14%––
Draw20%––
Urawa Reds W win66%––
Over 2.5 goals47%––
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals72%––
Over 3.5 goals26%––
JEF United W or draw34%––
JEF United W clean sheet16%––
Urawa Reds W clean sheet51%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 15.0%
0123450 7.5 15.0 13.4 8.5 4.2 1 5.9 9.1 8.9 5.5 2.7 2 3.4 3.1 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+JEF United W down, Urawa Reds W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.40
Over 2.54 of 10
Both scored2 of 10
Last meetingsJEF 1–0 URA · URA 4–0 JEF · URA 2–0 JEF · JEF 0–2 URA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · WE League this season · since 22 Aug

JEF UNITED W

LLW1–2 · 1–3 · 2–0

URAWA REDS W

WWW1–0 · 5–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Urawa Reds W3+79
2INAC Kobe Leonessa W4+37
3Tokyo Verdy Beleza W3+26
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima W3+26
5Albirex Niigata W405
6Cerezo Osaka W3+14
7Elfen Saitama W304
8JEF United W3−13
9Vegalta Sendai W3−23
10Omiya Ardija Ventus W3−23
11Parceiro Nagano W5−43
12Nojima Stella W3−63

The competition's standings before kick-off.