JEF United W v Nojima Stella W prediction · WE League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

JEF United WDrawNojima Stella W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 04:00

Before kick-off · Match result · JEF United W 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

JEF United W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: JEF United W 40%, draw 26%, Nojima Stella W 34%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on JEF United W v Nojima Stella WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

JEF United W win40%

Draw26%

Nojima Stella W win34%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 04:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueFukuda Denshi Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

JEF United W

Nojima Stella W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · WE League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	JEF United W	6	+2	12
6	Nojima Stella W	6	−5	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · jef united w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make JEF United W a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · JEF United W v Nojima Stella W~~1.26 – 1.13

~~Form · WE League this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D0 L2 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 12 v 8~~3 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
JEF United W win	40%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Nojima Stella W win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	68%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
JEF United W or draw	66%	–	–
JEF United W clean sheet	33%	–	–
Nojima Stella W clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.3%

0123450 8.8 11.1 5.9 2.3 1 12.3 12.1 7.2 2.8 2 7.3 8.0 4.5 3 3.1 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+JEF United W down, Nojima Stella W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 648 WE League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: WE League matches have gone over 2.5 in 59.4% of games this season, across 32 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.70 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

JEF United W at home: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Nojima Stella W away: 1.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.26 goals for JEF United W, 1.13 for Nojima Stella W. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~JEF 2–2 NOJ · NOJ 0–0 JEF · NOJ 4–1 JEF · JEF 2–1 NOJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · WE League this season · since 22 Aug

JEF UNITED W

LLWWWW1–2 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–0

NOJIMA STELLA W

WLLDWD1–0 · 1–5 · 1–4 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Urawa Reds W	5	+8	12
2	Tokyo Verdy Beleza W	5	+6	12
3	JEF United W	6	+2	12
4	INAC Kobe Leonessa W	7	+1	10
5	Cerezo Osaka W	5	+2	8
6	Nojima Stella W	6	−5	8
7	Vegalta Sendai W	6	−2	7
8	Elfen Saitama W	6	−2	7
9	Sanfrecce Hiroshima W	4	+1	6
10	Albirex Niigata W	6	−2	5
11	Parceiro Nagano W	5	−4	3
12	Omiya Ardija Ventus W	5	−5	3