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Albirex Niigata W v Parceiro Nagano W

Albirex Niigata W
0–0Full time
Parceiro Nagano W

WE League · SAT 17 OCT · Denka Big Swan Stadium

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 07:31
Albirex Niigata W 0–0 Parceiro Nagano W ALBIREX NIIGATA W WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Albirex Niigata W win62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.051

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Albirex Niigata W win at 62%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Albirex Niigata W v Parceiro Nagano W
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Albirex Niigata W 62% before kick-off, 61% now. 0–0 · 61–21–18
  4. 12′A goal for Albirex Niigata W on 11′. 0–0 · 59–23–18
  5. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Albirex Niigata W win: 62% at kick-off, 52% now
  6. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Ami Sugita · Albirex Niigata W
  7. 38′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 50%. 0–0 · 50–32–18
  8. 40′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 49–33–18
  9. 45′HALF-TIME Albirex Niigata W 0–0 Parceiro Nagano W
  10. 46′SECOND HALF Albirex Niigata W 0–0 Parceiro Nagano W
  11. 51′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–39–17
  12. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Albirex Niigata W win: 62% at kick-off, 42% now
  13. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 42–42–16
  14. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Albirex Niigata W win 40%)
  15. 59′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–46–15
  16. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Parceiro Nagano W · On: Mayu Tsuneta · Off: Nanao Chiku
  17. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Parceiro Nagano W · On: Matsuura Meiko · Off: Yurara Hamada
  18. 65′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–52–14
  19. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Albirex Niigata W win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
  20. 71′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–59–12
  21. 75′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–65–10
  22. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Parceiro Nagano W · On: Yukino Inamura · Off: Sayaka Mitani
  23. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Parceiro Nagano W · On: Mika Machida · Off: Runa Shiotani
  24. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Albirex Niigata W · On: Anna Ezaki · Off: Kanami Shimobori
  25. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Albirex Niigata W win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
  26. 79′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–72–8
  27. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Matsuura Meiko · Parceiro Nagano W
  28. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Yuina Yamamoto · Albirex Niigata W
  29. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Albirex Niigata W · On: Nahomi Kawasumi · Off: Yuina Yamamoto
  30. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Albirex Niigata W · On: Chiho Takanashi · Off: Ema Yokoyama
  31. 83′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–81–6
  32. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Albirex Niigata W win: 62% at kick-off, 11% now
  33. 87′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–87–4
  34. 93′We said Albirex Niigata W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–95–1
  35. FTFULL TIME Albirex Niigata W 0–0 Parceiro Nagano W
  36. FTAlbirex Niigata W 0–0 Parceiro Nagano W · Albirex Niigata W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Albirex Niigata W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Albirex Niigata W 62%, draw 20%, Parceiro Nagano W 18%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Albirex Niigata W v Parceiro Nagano WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Albirex Niigata W win62%
Draw20%
Parceiro Nagano W win18%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 05:00

RoundMatchday 4

VenueDenka Big Swan Stadium

Line-ups

Albirex Niigata W

Parceiro Nagano W

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Albirex Niigata W

Parceiro Nagano W

42Days since last match42

Last match: 5 Sept · WE League

Last match: 5 Sept · WE League

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Albirex Niigata W304
12Parceiro Nagano W4−42

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Albirex Niigata W

Formation not confirmed

1 C. Hirao

6 S. Ariyoshi

33 S. Tanaka

13 A. Sugita

5 Y. Shirasawa

14 Y. Shimoyoshi

7 M. Sonoda

17 Y. Takikawa

4 E. Yokoyama

11 K. Shimobori

23 Y. Yamamoto

Coach · K. Hashikawa

Substitutes

18 · Anna Ezaki

10 · M. Kamionobe

9 · N. Kawasumi

22 · Riko Sanuga

25 · Chiho Takanashi

16 · C. Tomioka

20 · R. Yamaya

Parceiro Nagano W

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Umemura

25 C. Okugawa

27 Ayaka Osajima

34 K. Suzuki

5 Rei Tachibana

15 c. Nanao

14 Runa Shiotani

33 M. Yoshino

7 S. Mitani

17 Miyu Daiko

35 Y. Hamada

Coach · R. Hirose

Substitutes

9 · Y. Inamura

21 · Aina Kakiuchi

18 · Mika Machida

23 · Matsuura Meiko

19 · T. Koharu

24 · Yurina Tsukazaki

6 · Mayu Tsuneta

Our number · albirex niigata w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
62% The market–
Us62%

We make Albirex Niigata W a 62% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Albirex Niigata W v Parceiro Nagano W1.95 – 0.91
Form · WE League this season · since 23 AugW1 D1 L1 · W0 D2 L2
Table places · points 4 v 26 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Albirex Niigata W win62%––
Draw20%––
Parceiro Nagano W win18%––
Over 2.5 goals54%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals77%––
Over 3.5 goals32%––
Albirex Niigata W or draw82%––
Albirex Niigata W clean sheet41%––
Parceiro Nagano W clean sheet15%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.9%
0123450 5.4 6.1 2.5 1 11.9 9.4 4.6 2 10.7 9.6 4.4 3 6.9 6.2 2.8 4 3.5 3.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Albirex Niigata W down, Parceiro Nagano W across0–5 goals a side shown (98.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.80
Over 2.56 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsALB 2–2 PAR · PAR 0–2 ALB · ALB 2–1 PAR · PAR 1–2 ALB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · WE League this season · since 23 Aug

ALBIREX NIIGATA W

DWL1–1 · 3–2 · 1–2

PARCEIRO NAGANO W

LLDD1–2 · 1–4 · 2–2 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Urawa Reds W3+79
2INAC Kobe Leonessa W4+37
3Tokyo Verdy Beleza W3+26
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima W3+26
5Cerezo Osaka W3+14
6Albirex Niigata W304
7Elfen Saitama W304
8JEF United W3−13
9Vegalta Sendai W3−23
10Omiya Ardija Ventus W3−23
11Nojima Stella W3−63
12Parceiro Nagano W4−42

The competition's standings before kick-off.