Osaka v Kagoshima United

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Osaka win at 40%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Osaka v Kagoshima United
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Osaka 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–25–35
4. 15′We said Osaka at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 1–0 · 66–21–13
5. 15′⚽ GOAL · 15' Osaka 1–0 Kagoshima United
6. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 15' Osaka win: 40% at kick-off, 66% now
7. 16′Osaka score on 16′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 66–21–13
8. 17′15′: T. Shimada on the scoresheet for Osaka, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 66–21–13
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 68–21–11
10. 37′We said Osaka at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–21–9
11. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Osaka win: 40% at kick-off, 70% now
12. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Osaka 1–1 Kagoshima United
13. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Osaka win: 40% at kick-off, 33% now
14. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Osaka win 71%)
15. 43′Kagoshima United find the net on 43′. 1–1. 1–1 · 32–38–29
16. 45′SECOND HALF Osaka 1–1 Kagoshima United
17. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kagoshima United · On: Y. Aoki · Off: Y. Nagamine
18. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Osaka · On: T. Kitsui · Off: K. Fukui
19. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kagoshima United · On: W. Tanaka · Off: K. Umeki
20. 49′HALF-TIME Osaka 1–1 Kagoshima United
21. 50′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 73–21–7
22. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Osaka win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
23. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Osaka 2–1 Kagoshima United
24. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Osaka win: 40% at kick-off, 73% now
25. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Osaka win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 42%)
26. 52′A goal for Osaka on 51′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 73–20–6
27. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Kagoshima United
28. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Kagoshima United · On: A. Takahashi · Off: K. Kawamura
29. 56′We said Osaka at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
30. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Kagoshima United · On: Juanma Delgado · Off: K. Nakayama
31. 67′We said Osaka at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
32. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Osaka win: 40% at kick-off, 80% now
33. 75′We said Osaka at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–14–2
34. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Osaka · On: R. Nose · Off: R. Kubo
35. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Osaka · On: S. Morimura · Off: T. Toya
36. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Kagoshima United · On: R. Saga · Off: M. Fukuda
37. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Osaka win: 40% at kick-off, 90% now
38. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Osaka
39. 82′We said Osaka at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 91%. 2–1 · 91–9–1
40. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Osaka · On: K. Isa · Off: T. Shimada
41. 88′We said Osaka at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
42. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Osaka
43. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Kagoshima United
44. FTFULL TIME Osaka 2–1 Kagoshima United
45. FTOsaka 2–1 Kagoshima United · Osaka win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.