

Kamatamare Sanuki v Kanazawa
Kamatamare Sanuki
KanazawaJ3 League · WED 21 OCT · Pikara
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kanazawa win at 47%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Kanazawa 47% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 29–24–47
- 1′We said Kanazawa at 47% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 71%. 0–1 · 12–18–71
- 1′KICK-OFF Kamatamare Sanuki v Kanazawa
- 1′⚽ GOAL · 1' Kamatamare Sanuki 0–1 Kanazawa
- 1′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 1' Kanazawa win: 47% at kick-off, 71% now
- 2′Kanazawa score on 2′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 12–18–71
- 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Kamatamare Sanuki 1–1 Kanazawa
- 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Kanazawa win: 47% at kick-off, 42% now
- 26′Kamatamare Sanuki find the net on 26′. 1–1. 1–1 · 28–30–42
- 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Kamatamare Sanuki
- 42′We said Kanazawa at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 2–1 · 62–25–13
- 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Kamatamare Sanuki 2–1 Kanazawa
- 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Kanazawa win: 47% at kick-off, 13% now
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Kamatamare Sanuki win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Kanazawa win 38%)
- 43′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 62–25–13
- 44′S. Arita scores for Kamatamare Sanuki on 43′ — 2–1. 2–1 · 63–25–12
- 45′SECOND HALF Kamatamare Sanuki 2–1 Kanazawa
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Kamatamare Sanuki · On: S. Miyazaki · Off: Y. Goto
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Kanazawa
- 51′HALF-TIME Kamatamare Sanuki 2–1 Kanazawa
- 53′We said Kanazawa at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 66–24–9
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Kanazawa win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Kamatamare Sanuki
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Kamatamare Sanuki · On: A. Ueno · Off: S. Woo
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Kanazawa · On: Y. Shinomiya · Off: H. Suzuki
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Kanazawa · On: K. Shirawachi · Off: R. Tosa
- 66′We said Kanazawa at 47%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 3–1 · 95–4–1
- 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Kamatamare Sanuki 3–1 Kanazawa
- 67′Kamatamare Sanuki score on 67′ to make it 3–1. 3–1 · 95–4–1
- 67′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 95–4–1
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Kanazawa · On: S. Shimada · Off: K. Sakakibara
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Kanazawa · On: H. Otani · Off: K. Miyazaki
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Kamatamare Sanuki · On: S. Kawakami · Off: K. Makiyama
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Kamatamare Sanuki · On: Y. Morikawa · Off: H. Asada
- 88′5 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 94–6–0
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Kamatamare Sanuki 3–2 Kanazawa
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Kamatamare Sanuki · On: R. Sano · Off: S. Arita
- 89′GOAL DISALLOWED · 89' Kanazawa
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Kanazawa · On: K. Buwanika · Off: S. Terasaka
- FTFULL TIME Kamatamare Sanuki 3–1 Kanazawa
- FTKamatamare Sanuki 3–1 Kanazawa · Kanazawa win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Kanazawa are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Kamatamare Sanuki 29%, draw 23%, Kanazawa 47%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 53%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Kamatamare Sanuki win29%
Kanazawa win47%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 11:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenuePikara
Match timeline
All events
Kamatamare SanukiMIN
KanazawaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Kamatamare Sanuki
Kanazawa
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kamatamare Sanuki
Kanazawa
Last match: 18 Oct · J3 League
Last match: 17 Oct · J3 League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Kamatamare Sanuki
Formation not confirmed
1 Y. Imamura
44 K. Hayashida
20 Lee Gi-San
40 S. Takashima
17 K. Makiyama
66 S. Woo
14 J. Ishikura
86 H. Asada
16 S. Arita
10 Y. Goto
77 Y. Murakami
Coach · Naoto Otake
Substitutes
55 · K. Aoki
34 · R. Namimoto
6 · S. Miyazaki
33 · S. Kawakami
60 · Y. Morikawa
99 · R. Yonezawa
24 · A. Ueno
11 · R. Sano
19 · Kang Dong-won
Kanazawa
Formation not confirmed
31 I. Ueda
55 D. Matsumoto
3 H. Hatao
19 S. Terasaka
29 K. Miyazaki
15 Y. Nishiya
40 R. Kawakami
28 H. Suzuki
23 K. Sakakibara
7 R. Tosa
10 Patric
Coach · Masateru Tsujita
Substitutes
50 · D. Goto
20 · H. Nagakura
2 · N. Yamamoto
41 · S. Shimada
8 · K. Oyama
14 · Y. Shinomiya
27 · H. Otani
9 · K. Buwanika
13 · K. Shirawachi
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Kamatamare Sanuki
Formation not confirmed
1 Y. Imamura
44 K. Hayashida
20 Lee Gi-San
40 S. Takashima
17 K. Makiyama
66 S. Woo
14 J. Ishikura
86 H. Asada
16 S. Arita
10 Y. Goto
77 Y. Murakami
Coach · Naoto Otake
Substitutes
55 · K. Aoki
34 · R. Namimoto
6 · S. Miyazaki
33 · S. Kawakami
60 · Y. Morikawa
99 · R. Yonezawa
24 · A. Ueno
11 · R. Sano
19 · Kang Dong-won
Kanazawa
Formation not confirmed
31 I. Ueda
55 D. Matsumoto
3 H. Hatao
19 S. Terasaka
29 K. Miyazaki
15 Y. Nishiya
40 R. Kawakami
28 H. Suzuki
23 K. Sakakibara
7 R. Tosa
10 Patric
Coach · Masateru Tsujita
Substitutes
50 · D. Goto
20 · H. Nagakura
2 · N. Yamamoto
41 · S. Shimada
8 · K. Oyama
14 · Y. Shinomiya
27 · H. Otani
9 · K. Buwanika
13 · K. Shirawachi
We make Kanazawa a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 49%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.2–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 49% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki win | 29% | 25% | +4 |
| Draw | 23% | 26% | −3 |
| Kanazawa win | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 54% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 53% | 57% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 77% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 34% | −4 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki or draw | 53% | 51% | +2 |
| Kamatamare Sanuki clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Kanazawa clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2021Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in J3 League this season · since 13 Sept
KAMATAMARE SANUKI
KANAZAWA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kagoshima United | 11 | +10 | 26 |
| 2 | Ehime FC | 11 | +12 | 23 |
| 3 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 11 | +9 | 23 |
| 4 | Nara Club | 11 | +6 | 23 |
| 5 | Sagamihara | 11 | +8 | 21 |
| 6 | FC Gifu | 11 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 | Osaka | 11 | +7 | 17 |
| 8 | Roasso Kumamoto | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 | Parceiro Nagano | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 10 | FC Ryukyu | 12 | −1 | 17 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 | Biwako Shiga | 12 | −3 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 11 | −7 | 14 |
| 14 | Tochigi SC | 12 | −4 | 13 |
| 15 | Kitakyushu | 12 | −5 | 13 |
| 16 | Matsumoto Yamaga | 11 | −3 | 11 |
| 17 | Fukushima United | 12 | −5 | 11 |
| 18 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 11 | −9 | 10 |
| 19 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 11 | −11 | 5 |
| 20 | Kochi United | 11 | −21 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Kagoshima United
Ehime FC
Renofa Yamaguchi
Nara Club
Sagamihara
FC Gifu
Osaka
Roasso Kumamoto
Parceiro Nagano
FC Ryukyu
Biwako Shiga
Gainare Tottori
Tochigi SC
Kitakyushu
Matsumoto Yamaga
Fukushima United
Thespakusatsu Gunma
Kochi United