FC Gifu v Sagamihara

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Gifu win at 46%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FC Gifu 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 46–24–30
3. 1′KICK-OFF FC Gifu v Sagamihara
4. 9′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Sagamihara
5. 18′We said FC Gifu at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
6. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' FC Gifu 0–1 Sagamihara
7. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' FC Gifu win: 46% at kick-off, 19% now
8. 18′THE CALL SWINGS · 18' Sagamihara win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was FC Gifu win 43%)
9. 19′Sagamihara find the net on 19′. 0–1. 0–1 · 19–24–57
10. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' FC Gifu win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 16–25–59
12. 37′We said FC Gifu at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–25–61
13. 41′SUBSTITUTION · 41' Sagamihara · On: K. Watahiki · Off: K. Miki
14. 45′SECOND HALF FC Gifu 0–1 Sagamihara
15. 48′HALF-TIME FC Gifu 0–1 Sagamihara
16. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Sagamihara · On: K. Sasaki · Off: T. Phochai
17. 53′We said FC Gifu at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–43–24
18. 53′⚽ GOAL · 53' FC Gifu 1–1 Sagamihara
19. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' FC Gifu win: 46% at kick-off, 33% now
20. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Sagamihara win 67%)
21. 54′A goal for FC Gifu on 53′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–44–24
22. 61′We said FC Gifu at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–21
23. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' FC Gifu win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
24. 69′We said FC Gifu at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
25. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 66' FC Gifu · On: Y. Yashiki · Off: S. Ogushi
26. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Sagamihara · On: R. Sugimoto · Off: M. Handai
27. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Sagamihara
28. 78′We said FC Gifu at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 88%. 2–1 · 88–11–1
29. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' FC Gifu win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
30. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Sagamihara · On: T. Shimakawa · Off: T. Takeuchi
31. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Sagamihara · On: M. Tokida · Off: R. Yamauchi
32. 78′⚽ GOAL · 78' FC Gifu 2–1 Sagamihara
33. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' FC Gifu win: 46% at kick-off, 88% now
34. 78′THE CALL SWINGS · 78' FC Gifu win is now our likeliest result at 88% (was Draw 71%)
35. 79′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 89–11–1
36. 79′FC Gifu score on 79′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 89–11–1
37. 81′We said FC Gifu at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
38. 87′We said FC Gifu at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
39. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' FC Gifu win: 46% at kick-off, 96% now
40. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' FC Gifu · On: K. Kai · Off: K. Yakabi
41. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 87' FC Gifu · On: F. Kitajima · Off: J. Izumisawa
42. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Sagamihara
43. FTFULL TIME FC Gifu 2–1 Sagamihara
44. FTFC Gifu 2–1 Sagamihara · FC Gifu win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.