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Ventforet Kofu v Yokohama FC

Ventforet Kofu
0–3Full time
Yokohama FC

J2 League · WED 21 OCT · JIT Recycle Ink Stadium

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 13:30
Ventforet Kofu 0–3 Yokohama FC YOKOHAMA FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Yokohama FC win51%
The market said57%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.359
The market’s Brier score0.281

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 22 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Yokohama FC win at 51%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Yokohama FC 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 25–25–51
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Ventforet Kofu v Yokohama FC
  4. 10′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Yokohama FC
  5. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Yokohama FC win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
  6. 45′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 5–17–78
  7. 45′SECOND HALF Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Yokohama FC
  8. 46′We said Yokohama FC at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 22–39–39 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
  9. 46′We said Yokohama FC at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 78%. 0–1 · 5–17–78
  10. 46′Yokohama FC score on 45′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 5–17–78
  11. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Yokohama FC
  12. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Yokohama FC win: 51% at kick-off, 78% now
  13. 46′HALF-TIME Ventforet Kofu 0–1 Yokohama FC
  14. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 48' Ventforet Kofu
  15. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Yokohama FC · On: R. Kubota · Off: R. Iwasaki
  16. 52′We said Yokohama FC at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 0–2 · 1–4–96
  17. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Ventforet Kofu 0–2 Yokohama FC
  18. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Yokohama FC win: 51% at kick-off, 96% now
  19. 53′Yokohama FC find the net on 53′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–96
  20. 55′Yokohama FC ahead on 54′ through T. Murata. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–3–96
  21. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Ventforet Kofu · On: K. Oshima · Off: K. Sato
  22. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Ventforet Kofu · On: H. Mizuno · Off: I. Kobayashi
  23. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Ventforet Kofu · On: T. Wada · Off: H. Sueki
  24. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Yokohama FC · On: N. Komazawa · Off: Lukian
  25. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Yokohama FC · On: M. Ito · Off: T. Murata
  26. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Ventforet Kofu · On: Y. Murakami · Off: K. Kumakura
  27. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Yokohama FC · On: H. Ogura · Off: L. Takae
  28. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Ventforet Kofu · On: M. Staccioli · Off: Y. Naito
  29. 81′We said Yokohama FC at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  30. 88′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  31. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Yokohama FC · On: K. Uda · Off: Joao Paulo
  32. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Ventforet Kofu 0–3 Yokohama FC
  33. 89′A goal for Yokohama FC on 89′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  34. 91′N. Komazawa scores for Yokohama FC on 88′ — 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  35. FTFULL TIME Ventforet Kofu 0–3 Yokohama FC
  36. FTVentforet Kofu 0–3 Yokohama FC · Yokohama FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yokohama FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ventforet Kofu 25%, draw 24%, Yokohama FC 51%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Ventforet Kofu v Yokohama FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Ventforet Kofu win25%
Draw24%
Yokohama FC win51%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueJIT Recycle Ink Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ventforet Kofu

Yokohama FC

3Days since last match4

Last match: 18 Oct · J2 League

Last match: 17 Oct · J2 League

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Yokohama FC11+618
20Ventforet Kofu11−1410

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yokohama fc winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 19 Oct 00:15 · locked at kick-off
51% The market57%
Us51%
Market57%

We make Yokohama FC a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ventforet Kofu v Yokohama FC1.07 – 1.66
Form · last six in J2 League this season · since 12 SeptW1 D0 L5 · W2 D2 L2
Table places · points 10 v 1820 v 5
The market · Yokohama FC win57% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 15 OCT 04:3321 OCT 10:38
Our probability · Yokohama FC win The market, margin stripped

Published at 50%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ventforet Kofu win25%19%+6
Draw24%24%0
Yokohama FC win51%57%−6
Over 2.5 goals51%51%0
Both teams to score53%51%+2
Over 1.5 goals75%74%+1
Over 3.5 goals29%30%−1
Ventforet Kofu or draw49%43%+6
Ventforet Kofu clean sheet19%––
Yokohama FC clean sheet35%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%
0123450 6.8 10.8 8.9 5.0 2.1 1 7.0 11.4 9.4 5.2 2.2 2 3.8 6.1 5.0 2.8 3 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ventforet Kofu down, Yokohama FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.52 of 4
Both scored2 of 4
Last meetingsYOK 1–0 VEN · VEN 1–2 YOK · YOK 1–0 VEN · VEN 1–2 YOK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in J2 League this season · since 12 Sept

VENTFORET KOFU

LLLLWL0–1 · 0–1 · 1–5 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–5

YOKOHAMA FC

LWDWLD0–2 · 2–1 · 3–3 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Vegalta Sendai11+1024
2Omiya Ardija11+1020
3Albirex Niigata11−420
4Kataller Toyama11+919
5Yokohama FC11+618
6Shonan Bellmare11+218
7Oita Trinita11+717
8Iwaki11+115
9Fujieda MYFC11+214
10Tegevajaro Miyazaki11014
11Jubilo Iwata11−114
12Sagan Tosu11−214
13Tokushima Vortis11−214
14Consadole Sapporo12−414
15Blaublitz Akita11013
16Montedio Yamagata12013
17Tochigi City11−111
18Imabari11−811
19Vanraure Hachinohe11−1111
20Ventforet Kofu11−1410

The competition's standings before kick-off.