Tokushima Vortis v Yokohama FC prediction · J2 League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Tokushima VortisDrawYokohama FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 05:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Yokohama FC 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Yokohama FC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tokushima Vortis 31%, draw 29%, Yokohama FC 39%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Tokushima Vortis v Yokohama FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Tokushima Vortis win31%

Draw29%

Yokohama FC win39%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 05:00

RoundMatchday 14

VenuePocarisweat Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tokushima Vortis

Yokohama FC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · J2 League

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Yokohama FC	13	+9	22
9	Tokushima Vortis	13	−2	17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · yokohama fc winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Yokohama FC a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tokushima Vortis v Yokohama FC~~1.01 – 1.17

~~Form · last six in J2 League this season · since 26 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 17 v 22~~9 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tokushima Vortis win	31%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Yokohama FC win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Tokushima Vortis or draw	61%	–	–
Tokushima Vortis clean sheet	31%	–	–
Yokohama FC clean sheet	37%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.2%

0123450 11.6 13.2 7.8 3.1 1 11.3 13.2 7.7 3.0 2 5.8 6.6 3.9 3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tokushima Vortis down, Yokohama FC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 2,280 J2 League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: J2 League matches have gone over 2.5 in 49.2% of games this season, across 122 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2022 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tokushima Vortis at home: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Yokohama FC away: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.01 goals for Tokushima Vortis, 1.17 for Yokohama FC. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~YOK 2–0 TOK · TOK 0–1 YOK · TOK 1–1 YOK · YOK 2–1 TOK

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in J2 League this season · since 26 Sept

TOKUSHIMA VORTIS

WLLDLW3–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–0

YOKOHAMA FC

DWLDWD3–3 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Vegalta Sendai	12	+12	27
2	Albirex Niigata	12	−3	23
3	Kataller Toyama	12	+12	22
4	Yokohama FC	13	+9	22
5	Omiya Ardija	13	+7	21
6	Shonan Bellmare	12	+2	19
7	Oita Trinita	12	+7	18
8	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	12	+1	17
9	Tokushima Vortis	13	−2	17
10	Iwaki	12	+1	16
11	Fujieda MYFC	13	+1	15
12	Jubilo Iwata	12	−1	15
13	Sagan Tosu	12	−3	14
14	Consadole Sapporo	12	−4	14
15	Vanraure Hachinohe	12	−10	14
16	Montedio Yamagata	12	0	13
17	Blaublitz Akita	12	−1	13
18	Tochigi City	12	−1	12
19	Imabari	12	−10	11
20	Ventforet Kofu	12	−17	10