

Tokushima Vortis v Vanraure Hachinohe
Tokushima Vortis
Vanraure HachinoheJ2 League · WED 21 OCT · Pocarisweat Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Tokushima Vortis win at 50%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Tokushima Vortis was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–28–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Tokushima Vortis v Vanraure Hachinohe
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Tokushima Vortis win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
- 43′We said Tokushima Vortis at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–42–20
- 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Tokushima Vortis win 40%)
- 45′SECOND HALF Tokushima Vortis 0–0 Vanraure Hachinohe
- 47′HALF-TIME Tokushima Vortis 0–0 Vanraure Hachinohe
- 52′We said Tokushima Vortis at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–48–18
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Tokushima Vortis · On: N. Kanuma · Off: K. Iwao
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Tokushima Vortis · On: D. Watari · Off: T. Shigehiro
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Tokushima Vortis win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
- 61′We said Tokushima Vortis at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–55–16
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: K. Oka · Off: F. Unoki
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: R. Sawakami · Off: A. Sato
- 68′We said Tokushima Vortis at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–62–13
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: Y. Sato · Off: S. Otoizumi Corrected
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Tokushima Vortis win: 50% at kick-off, 20% now
- 74′We said Tokushima Vortis at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–70–11
- 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: Y. Inami · Off: Y. Igari
- 79′We said Tokushima Vortis at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
- 82′We said Tokushima Vortis at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 1%. 0–1 · 1–10–89
- 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Tokushima Vortis 0–1 Vanraure Hachinohe
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Tokushima Vortis win: 50% at kick-off, 1% now
- 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Vanraure Hachinohe win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 83%)
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Tokushima Vortis · On: M. Moyo · Off: Y. Takagi
- 84′Vanraure Hachinohe find the net on 83′. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–8–92
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Tokushima Vortis win: 50% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: S. Suzuki · Off: S. Otoizumi
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Tokushima Vortis · On: T. Yamaguchi · Off: J. Miyazaki
- 90′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Tokushima Vortis · On: L. Izuchukwu · Off: S. Kodama
- FTFULL TIME Tokushima Vortis 0–1 Vanraure Hachinohe
- FTTokushima Vortis 0–1 Vanraure Hachinohe · Tokushima Vortis win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Tokushima Vortis are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Tokushima Vortis 50%, draw 28%, Vanraure Hachinohe 22%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Tokushima Vortis win50%
Vanraure Hachinohe win22%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 11:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenuePocarisweat Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Tokushima VortisMIN
Vanraure HachinoheEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Tokushima Vortis
Vanraure Hachinohe
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Tokushima Vortis
Vanraure Hachinohe
Last match: 17 Oct · J2 League
Last match: 17 Oct · J2 League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Tokushima Vortis
Formation not confirmed
37 K. C. Kitamura
15 K. Yamakoshi
3 N. Yamada
2 H. Tanaka
19 J. Miyazaki
10 T. Sugimoto
8 K. Iwao
42 Y. Takagi
55 T. Shigehiro
7 S. Kodama
11 Lucas Barcelos
Coach · Takafumi Yoshimoto
Substitutes
31 · T. Hasegawa
44 · T. Yamaguchi
4 · Kaique
97 · M. Moyo
23 · Y. Takada
69 · M. Fukuta
6 · N. Kanuma
27 · L. Izuchukwu
16 · D. Watari
Vanraure Hachinohe
Formation not confirmed
25 Y. Taniguchi
2 W. Hiramatsu
15 K. Sasaki
3 Y. Sawada
6 F. Unoki
34 S. Takayoshi
33 Y. Igari
8 S. Otoizumi
7 A. Sato
80 K. Nagata
35 W. Owie
Coach · Keiji Kuraishi
Substitutes
13 · S. Onishi
4 · S. Suzuki
17 · Y. Sato
24 · R. Kurisawa
10 · R. Sawakami
30 · Y. Inami
99 · S. Nakano
88 · M. Shintani
29 · K. Oka
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Tokushima Vortis
Formation not confirmed
37 K. C. Kitamura
15 K. Yamakoshi
3 N. Yamada
2 H. Tanaka
19 J. Miyazaki
10 T. Sugimoto
8 K. Iwao
42 Y. Takagi
55 T. Shigehiro
7 S. Kodama
11 Lucas Barcelos
Coach · Takafumi Yoshimoto
Substitutes
31 · T. Hasegawa
44 · T. Yamaguchi
4 · Kaique
97 · M. Moyo
23 · Y. Takada
69 · M. Fukuta
6 · N. Kanuma
27 · L. Izuchukwu
16 · D. Watari
Vanraure Hachinohe
Formation not confirmed
25 Y. Taniguchi
2 W. Hiramatsu
15 K. Sasaki
3 Y. Sawada
6 F. Unoki
34 S. Takayoshi
33 Y. Igari
8 S. Otoizumi
7 A. Sato
80 K. Nagata
35 W. Owie
Coach · Keiji Kuraishi
Substitutes
13 · S. Onishi
4 · S. Suzuki
17 · Y. Sato
24 · R. Kurisawa
10 · R. Sawakami
30 · Y. Inami
99 · S. Nakano
88 · M. Shintani
29 · K. Oka
We make Tokushima Vortis a 50% chance to win. The market has them at 48%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 48% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tokushima Vortis win | 50% | 48% | +2 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Vanraure Hachinohe win | 22% | 24% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 46% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 50% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% | 69% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% | 25% | −7 |
| Tokushima Vortis or draw | 78% | 76% | +2 |
| Tokushima Vortis clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Vanraure Hachinohe clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2022No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in J2 League this season · since 12 Sept
TOKUSHIMA VORTIS
VANRAURE HACHINOHE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 11 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 | Omiya Ardija | 11 | +10 | 20 |
| 3 | Albirex Niigata | 11 | −4 | 20 |
| 4 | Kataller Toyama | 11 | +9 | 19 |
| 5 | Yokohama FC | 11 | +6 | 18 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 11 | +7 | 17 |
| 8 | Iwaki | 11 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 | Fujieda MYFC | 11 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 11 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 11 | −1 | 14 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 11 | −2 | 14 |
| 13 | Tokushima Vortis | 11 | −2 | 14 |
| 14 | Consadole Sapporo | 12 | −4 | 14 |
| 15 | Blaublitz Akita | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Tochigi City | 11 | −1 | 11 |
| 18 | Imabari | 11 | −8 | 11 |
| 19 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 11 | −11 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 11 | −14 | 10 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Vegalta Sendai
Omiya Ardija
Albirex Niigata
Kataller Toyama
Yokohama FC
Shonan Bellmare
Oita Trinita
Iwaki
Fujieda MYFC
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
Consadole Sapporo
Blaublitz Akita
Montedio Yamagata
Tochigi City
Imabari
Ventforet Kofu