Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Jubilo Iwata

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Jubilo Iwata win at 39%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Jubilo Iwata was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 36–25–39
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tegevajaro Miyazaki v Jubilo Iwata
4. 8′We published Jubilo Iwata at 39%. Our model now makes it 65%. 0–1 · 15–20–65
5. 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0–1 Jubilo Iwata
6. 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 8' Jubilo Iwata win: 39% at kick-off, 65% now
7. 9′Jubilo Iwata score on 9′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 15–20–65
8. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Jubilo Iwata
9. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Jubilo Iwata win: 39% at kick-off, 37% now
10. 24′Tegevajaro Miyazaki find the net on 23′. 1–1. 1–1 · 34–30–36
11. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Tegevajaro Miyazaki
12. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Y. Iesaka · Tegevajaro Miyazaki
13. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Jubilo Iwata win 32%)
14. 45′SECOND HALF Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Jubilo Iwata
15. 47′HALF-TIME Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Jubilo Iwata
16. 47′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Jubilo Iwata · On: R. Ota · Off: J. Victor
17. 52′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 28–42–30
18. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Jubilo Iwata win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
19. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Jubilo Iwata · On: D. Kaneko · Off: K. Yamazaki
20. 59′We said Jubilo Iwata at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 25–47–27
21. 65′We said Jubilo Iwata at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 23–53–24
22. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Jubilo Iwata · On: M. Ohara · Off: T. Inui
23. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Jubilo Iwata · On: I. Kawasaki · Off: H. Tameda
24. 73′We said Jubilo Iwata at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 18–63–19
25. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Jubilo Iwata win: 39% at kick-off, 19% now
26. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Tegevajaro Miyazaki
27. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Tegevajaro Miyazaki · On: E. Watanabe · Off: Y. Iesaka
28. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Tegevajaro Miyazaki · On: R. Inoue · Off: M. Ano
29. 79′We said Jubilo Iwata at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 13–73–14
30. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Tegevajaro Miyazaki · On: S. Tanaka · Off: T. Abe
31. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Tegevajaro Miyazaki · On: K. Matsumoto · Off: K. Hashimoto
32. 84′We said Jubilo Iwata at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 1–1 · 8–84–8
33. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Jubilo Iwata
34. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Jubilo Iwata win: 39% at kick-off, 8% now
35. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Jubilo Iwata · On: K. Fujiwara · Off: Iago Teles
36. 91′We said Jubilo Iwata at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–4
37. 95′Full time, 1–1. We called Jubilo Iwata at 39% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–1 · 0–100–0
38. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' Tegevajaro Miyazaki · On: R. Sato · Off: K. Okumura
39. FTFULL TIME Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Jubilo Iwata
40. FTTegevajaro Miyazaki 1–1 Jubilo Iwata · Jubilo Iwata win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.