

Omiya Ardija v Yokohama FC
Omiya Ardija
Yokohama FCJ2 League · SAT 24 OCT · NACK5 Stadium Omiya
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Yokohama FC win at 42%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Yokohama FC 42% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 33–25–42
- 1′KICK-OFF Omiya Ardija v Yokohama FC
- 8′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Omiya Ardija
- 13′We said Yokohama FC at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 59–22–19
- 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Omiya Ardija 1–0 Yokohama FC
- 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Yokohama FC win: 42% at kick-off, 19% now
- 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' Omiya Ardija win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Yokohama FC win 41%)
- 14′Omiya Ardija find the net on 14′. 1–0. 1–0 · 59–22–19
- 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Omiya Ardija 1–1 Yokohama FC
- 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Yokohama FC win: 42% at kick-off, 41% now
- 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Yokohama FC win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Omiya Ardija win 59%)
- 15′A goal for Yokohama FC on 15′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 32–27–41
- 29′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Omiya Ardija
- 30′SUBSTITUTION · 27' Omiya Ardija · On: G. Kato · Off: Kaua Diniz
- 45′SECOND HALF Omiya Ardija 1–1 Yokohama FC
- 46′We said Yokohama FC at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 11%. 2–1 · 66–23–11
- 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Omiya Ardija 2–1 Yokohama FC
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Yokohama FC win: 42% at kick-off, 11% now
- 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+1' Omiya Ardija win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Yokohama FC win 36%)
- 46′GOAL DISALLOWED · 46' Omiya Ardija
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Yokohama FC win: 42% at kick-off, 34% now
- 47′We said Yokohama FC at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–2 · 7–20–72
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Omiya Ardija win 66%)
- 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Yokohama FC
- 47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Omiya Ardija 1–2 Yokohama FC
- 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Yokohama FC win: 42% at kick-off, 72% now
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Yokohama FC win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 38%)
- 48′Yokohama FC score on 47′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 7–20–73
- 48′3 goals already, more than the 2.9 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 7–20–73
- 48′HALF-TIME Omiya Ardija 1–1 Yokohama FC
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Omiya Ardija · On: O. Yamamoto · Off: Y. Toyokawa
- 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Yokohama FC · On: R. Kubota · Off: T. Murata
- 53′🟨 YELLOW Omiya Ardija
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 16' N. Pelach · Omiya Ardija
- 55′We said Yokohama FC at 42% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–2 · 6–20–75
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Yokohama FC · On: R. Iwasaki · Off: Joao Paulo
- 67′We said Yokohama FC at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 25%. 2–2 · 21–55–25
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Omiya Ardija 2–2 Yokohama FC
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Yokohama FC win: 42% at kick-off, 25% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Yokohama FC win 79%)
- 68′Omiya Ardija find the net on 68′. 2–2. 2–2 · 20–56–24
- 69′We said Yokohama FC at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 2–2 · 20–57–23
- 71′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.9 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 18–60–22
- 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Yokohama FC win: 42% at kick-off, 22% now
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Yokohama FC · On: H. Ogura · Off: L. Takae
- 76′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Yokohama FC · On: Adailton · Off: Lukian
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Omiya Ardija · On: K. Sugimoto · Off: Carlinhos Junior
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Omiya Ardija · On: Y. Kobayashi · Off: T. Izumi
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Yokohama FC win: 42% at kick-off, 12% now
- 84′We said Yokohama FC at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 8–83–9
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Yokohama FC · On: N. Komazawa · Off: T. Shimamura
- 91′We said Yokohama FC at 42%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 3–92–4
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Yokohama FC win: 42% at kick-off, 2% now
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Omiya Ardija · On: H. Hidaka · Off: Caprini
- 95′2–2 at the end. Our 42% on Yokohama FC misses, and the record keeps it. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Omiya Ardija 2–2 Yokohama FC
- FTOmiya Ardija 2–2 Yokohama FC · Yokohama FC win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Yokohama FC are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Omiya Ardija 33%, draw 25%, Yokohama FC 42%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Omiya Ardija win33%
Yokohama FC win42%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 06:00
RoundMatchday 13
VenueNACK5 Stadium Omiya
Match timeline
All events
Omiya ArdijaMIN
Yokohama FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Omiya Ardija
Yokohama FC
Last match: 21 Oct · J2 League
Last match: 21 Oct · J2 League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Yokohama FC a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 39%, 42% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Omiya Ardija win | 33% | – | – |
| Draw | 25% | – | – |
| Yokohama FC win | 42% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 57% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | – | – |
| Omiya Ardija or draw | 58% | – | – |
| Omiya Ardija clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
| Yokohama FC clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in J2 League this season · since 19 Sept
OMIYA ARDIJA
YOKOHAMA FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 12 | +12 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 12 | −3 | 23 |
| 3 | Kataller Toyama | 12 | +12 | 22 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 12 | +9 | 21 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 12 | +7 | 20 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 12 | +2 | 19 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 12 | +7 | 18 |
| 8 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 12 | +1 | 17 |
| 9 | Iwaki | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 | Fujieda MYFC | 12 | +2 | 15 |
| 11 | Jubilo Iwata | 12 | −1 | 15 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 12 | −3 | 14 |
| 13 | Tokushima Vortis | 12 | −3 | 14 |
| 14 | Consadole Sapporo | 12 | −4 | 14 |
| 15 | Vanraure Hachinohe | 12 | −10 | 14 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Blaublitz Akita | 12 | −1 | 13 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 12 | −1 | 12 |
| 19 | Imabari | 12 | −10 | 11 |
| 20 | Ventforet Kofu | 12 | −17 | 10 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Vegalta Sendai
Albirex Niigata
Kataller Toyama
Shonan Bellmare
Oita Trinita
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Iwaki
Fujieda MYFC
Jubilo Iwata
Sagan Tosu
Tokushima Vortis
Consadole Sapporo
Vanraure Hachinohe
Montedio Yamagata
Blaublitz Akita
Tochigi City
Imabari
Ventforet Kofu