Jubilo Iwata v Oita Trinita

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Jubilo Iwata win at 47%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Jubilo Iwata was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–27–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Jubilo Iwata v Oita Trinita
4. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Jubilo Iwata win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
5. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Jubilo Iwata win 38%)
6. 45′SECOND HALF Jubilo Iwata 0–0 Oita Trinita
7. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Oita Trinita · On: I. Oda · Off: T. Shige
8. 48′We said Jubilo Iwata at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 35–43–22
9. 48′HALF-TIME Jubilo Iwata 0–0 Oita Trinita
10. 50′We said Jubilo Iwata at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–44–22
11. 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Oita Trinita
12. 55′We expected about 2.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 32–48–20
13. 55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Jubilo Iwata · On: T. Inui · Off: Iago Teles
14. 60′We said Jubilo Iwata at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–19
15. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Jubilo Iwata win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
16. 68′We said Jubilo Iwata at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
17. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Oita Trinita · On: K. Sakakibara · Off: Y. Nishimura
18. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Oita Trinita · On: D. Furukawa · Off: K. Arima
19. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Oita Trinita · On: M. Kimoto · Off: Patrick Verhon
20. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Jubilo Iwata · On: R. Ota · Off: Matheus Peixoto
21. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Jubilo Iwata · On: I. Kawasaki · Off: H. Tameda
22. 74′We said Jubilo Iwata at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
23. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Jubilo Iwata win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
24. 79′We said Jubilo Iwata at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–76–10
25. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Jubilo Iwata · On: D. Sato · Off: M. Ohara
26. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Jubilo Iwata · On: R. Uehara · Off: S. Inoue
27. 81′We published Jubilo Iwata at 47%. Our model now makes it 92%. 1–0 · 92–8–0
28. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Oita Trinita
29. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Jubilo Iwata 1–0 Oita Trinita
30. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Jubilo Iwata win: 47% at kick-off, 92% now
31. 81′THE CALL SWINGS · 81' Jubilo Iwata win is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Draw 79%)
32. 82′GOAL DISALLOWED · 82' Jubilo Iwata
33. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Jubilo Iwata win: 47% at kick-off, 11% now
34. 82′THE CALL SWINGS · 82' Draw is now our likeliest result at 81% (was Jubilo Iwata win 92%)
35. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' Jubilo Iwata win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
36. 91′We said Jubilo Iwata at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–3
37. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Oita Trinita · On: K. Moriyama · Off: S. Utsumoto
38. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Jubilo Iwata
39. 94′Full time, 0–0. We called Jubilo Iwata at 47% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
40. FTFULL TIME Jubilo Iwata 0–0 Oita Trinita
41. FTJubilo Iwata 0–0 Oita Trinita · Jubilo Iwata win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.