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Imabari v Vanraure Hachinohe

Imabari
3–3Full time
Vanraure Hachinohe

J2 League · SAT 17 OCT · Arigato Service Dream

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 08:31
Imabari 3–3 Vanraure Hachinohe IMABARI WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Imabari win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.832

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 36 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Imabari win at 45%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Imabari 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Imabari v Vanraure Hachinohe
  4. 18′We said Imabari at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–18–10
  5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Imabari 1–0 Vanraure Hachinohe
  6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Imabari win: 45% at kick-off, 72% now
  7. 19′Imabari find the net on 19′. 1–0. 1–0 · 72–19–9
  8. 19′GOAL DISALLOWED · 19' Imabari
  9. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 19' Imabari win: 45% at kick-off, 42% now
  10. 19′⚽ GOAL · 19' Imabari 1–0 Vanraure Hachinohe
  11. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' Imabari win: 45% at kick-off, 72% now
  12. 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 73–19–8
  13. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Imabari
  14. 41′We said Imabari at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–19–7
  15. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Vanraure Hachinohe
  16. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 41' Imabari win: 45% at kick-off, 75% now
  17. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Imabari 1–1 Vanraure Hachinohe
  18. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Imabari win: 45% at kick-off, 35% now
  19. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Imabari win 35%)
  20. 45′SECOND HALF Imabari 1–1 Vanraure Hachinohe
  21. 46′A goal for Vanraure Hachinohe on 45′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 35–41–24
  22. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Imabari · On: A. Palocevic · Off: H. Abe
  23. 49′HALF-TIME Imabari 1–1 Vanraure Hachinohe
  24. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: S. Suzuki · Off: H. Yukie
  25. 50′We said Imabari at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–43–24
  26. 52′We said Imabari at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–24–68
  27. 52′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 9–24–68
  28. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Imabari 1–2 Vanraure Hachinohe
  29. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Imabari win: 45% at kick-off, 9% now
  30. 52′THE CALL SWINGS · 52' Vanraure Hachinohe win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 24%)
  31. 53′Vanraure Hachinohe score on 52′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 8–24–68
  32. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Imabari
  33. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Imabari · On: K. Mochii · Off: Wesley Tanque
  34. 59′We said Imabari at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 1–3 · 1–5–94
  35. 59′Vanraure Hachinohe find the net on 59′. 1–3. 1–3 · 1–5–94
  36. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Imabari 1–3 Vanraure Hachinohe
  37. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Imabari win: 45% at kick-off, 1% now
  38. 61′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 1–5–94
  39. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: R. Sawakami · Off: A. Sato
  40. 69′5 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 4–19–77
  41. 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Imabari 2–3 Vanraure Hachinohe
  42. 70′A goal for Imabari on 69′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 3–19–78
  43. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Imabari · On: K. Furuyama · Off: Y. Komai
  44. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: S. Nakano · Off: W. Owie
  45. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: Y. Igari · Off: Y. Sato
  46. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Imabari
  47. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Vanraure Hachinohe · On: K. Oka · Off: K. Nagata
  48. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Imabari · On: T. Kondo · Off: K. Mori
  49. 93′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Imabari · On: T. Yamada · Off: Y. Kajiura
  50. 94′That is 6, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 2–97–1
  51. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Imabari 3–3 Vanraure Hachinohe
  52. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Vanraure Hachinohe win 1%)
  53. 96′Imabari score on 90′ to make it 3–3. 3–3 · 2–97–1
  54. FTFULL TIME Imabari 3–3 Vanraure Hachinohe
  55. FTImabari 3–3 Vanraure Hachinohe · Imabari win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Imabari are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Imabari 45%, draw 26%, Vanraure Hachinohe 29%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Imabari v Vanraure HachinoheBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Imabari win45%
Draw26%
Vanraure Hachinohe win29%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 06:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueArigato Service Dream

Line-ups

Imabari

Vanraure Hachinohe

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Imabari

Vanraure Hachinohe

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · J2 League

Last match: 10 Oct · J2 League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
17Imabari10−810
19Vanraure Hachinohe10−1110

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Imabari

Formation not confirmed

16 T. Yamamoto

2 R. Umeki

35 K. Kushibiki

99 Gabriel Gomes

15 K. Kikuchi

22 H. Abe

6 Y. Kajiura

8 K. Mori

11 Wesley Tanque

14 Y. Komai

10 E. Junio

Coach · Yoshikiyo Kuboyama

Substitutes

1 · K. Tachikawa

3 · T. Son

29 · Y. Maruyama

7 · T. Yamada

38 · H. Umakoshi

26 · A. Palocevic

17 · K. Mochii

9 · T. Kondo

19 · K. Furuyama

Vanraure Hachinohe

Formation not confirmed

25 Y. Taniguchi

11 H. Yukie

15 K. Sasaki

3 Y. Sawada

6 F. Unoki

34 S. Takayoshi

17 Y. Sato

8 S. Otoizumi

7 A. Sato

80 K. Nagata

35 W. Owie

Coach · Keiji Kuraishi

Substitutes

13 · S. Onishi

4 · S. Suzuki

33 · Y. Igari

24 · R. Kurisawa

10 · R. Sawakami

30 · Y. Inami

99 · S. Nakano

88 · M. Shintani

29 · K. Oka

Our number · imabari winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Imabari a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Imabari v Vanraure Hachinohe1.43 – 1.10
Form · last six in J2 League this season · since 5 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 10 v 1017 v 19

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Imabari win45%––
Draw26%––
Vanraure Hachinohe win29%––
Over 2.5 goals46%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals71%––
Over 3.5 goals25%––
Imabari or draw71%––
Imabari clean sheet34%––
Vanraure Hachinohe clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%
0123450 8.1 8.9 4.8 1 11.5 12.2 6.7 2.5 2 8.2 8.8 4.8 3 3.9 4.2 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Imabari down, Vanraure Hachinohe across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.22
Over 2.54 of 9
Both scored4 of 9
Last meetingsVAN 1–1 IMA · IMA 3–1 VAN · VAN 0–1 IMA · IMA 2–0 VAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in J2 League this season · since 5 Sept

IMABARI

DWLLWW1–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–1

VANRAURE HACHINOHE

DLLWLL0–0 · 0–1 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Vegalta Sendai10+1023
2Omiya Ardija10+1120
3Albirex Niigata10020
4Kataller Toyama10+918
5Yokohama FC10+617
6Shonan Bellmare10+217
7Oita Trinita10+314
8Fujieda MYFC10+213
9Blaublitz Akita10+113
10Tegevajaro Miyazaki10013
11Jubilo Iwata10−113
12Tokushima Vortis10−213
13Montedio Yamagata10+212
14Iwaki10−412
15Sagan Tosu10−311
16Tochigi City10−110
17Imabari10−810
18Ventforet Kofu10−910
19Vanraure Hachinohe10−1110
20Consadole Sapporo10−78

The competition's standings before kick-off.