Fujieda MYFC v Montedio Yamagata

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Montedio Yamagata win at 43%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Montedio Yamagata 43% before kick-off, 42% now. 0–0 · 32–26–42
3. 1′KICK-OFF Fujieda MYFC v Montedio Yamagata
4. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Montedio Yamagata win 34%)
5. 45′SECOND HALF Fujieda MYFC 0–0 Montedio Yamagata
6. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 47' Montedio Yamagata win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
7. 48′HALF-TIME Fujieda MYFC 0–0 Montedio Yamagata
8. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 44' Montedio Yamagata · On: Lee Dong-Hee · Off: R. Morioka
9. 52′We said Montedio Yamagata at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 25–44–31
10. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 24–46–30
11. 57′We said Montedio Yamagata at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 23–47–29
12. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Fujieda MYFC · On: T. Kawamoto · Off: M. Kitahara
13. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Fujieda MYFC · On: H. Manabe · Off: W. Kanemoto
14. 67′We said Montedio Yamagata at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 19–57–24
15. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Montedio Yamagata win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
16. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Montedio Yamagata · On: R. Kawana · Off: S. Doi
17. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Montedio Yamagata · On: H. Nodake · Off: Yoshio Kaina Corrected
18. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Montedio Yamagata · On: S. Horikane · Off: R. Kida Corrected
19. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Fujieda MYFC · On: Y. Nakamura · Off: S. Matsuki
20. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Fujieda MYFC · On: U. Uehata · Off: R. Kawamoto
21. 73′We said Montedio Yamagata at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 16–65–19
22. 79′We said Montedio Yamagata at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 12–74–14
23. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Montedio Yamagata
24. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Montedio Yamagata win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
25. 84′We said Montedio Yamagata at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 7–85–8
26. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Montedio Yamagata · On: R. Yokoyama · Off: K. Yanagimachi
27. 90′We said Montedio Yamagata at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
28. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Fujieda MYFC · On: R. Shimano · Off: Y. Nagao
29. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Montedio Yamagata win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
30. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Fujieda MYFC
31. 95′0–0 at the end. Our 43% on Montedio Yamagata misses, and the record keeps it. 0–0 · 0–100–0
32. FTFULL TIME Fujieda MYFC 0–0 Montedio Yamagata
33. FTFujieda MYFC 0–0 Montedio Yamagata · Montedio Yamagata win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.