Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Tokyo Verdy win at 35%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Tokyo Verdy 35% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 35–31–34
3. 2′KICK-OFF Tokyo Verdy v Avispa Fukuoka
4. 10′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 67%. 1–0 · 67–21–12
5. 10′Tokyo Verdy find the net on 10′. 1–0. 1–0 · 67–21–12
6. 10′⚽ GOAL · 10' Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka
7. 10′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 10' Tokyo Verdy win: 35% at kick-off, 67% now
8. 14′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 89%. 2–0 · 89–8–3
9. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Tokyo Verdy 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka
10. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Tokyo Verdy win: 35% at kick-off, 89% now
11. 15′GOAL DISALLOWED · 15' Tokyo Verdy
12. 15′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 15' Tokyo Verdy win: 35% at kick-off, 67% now
13. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Tokyo Verdy
14. 30′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–22–9
15. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.0 we expected. 1–0 · 70–22–9
16. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Keiya Shiihashi · Avispa Fukuoka
17. 45′HALF-TIME Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka
18. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45+4' Shu Morooka · Avispa Fukuoka
19. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Avispa Fukuoka · On: Werik Popo · Off: Keiya Shiihashi
20. 46′SECOND HALF Tokyo Verdy 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka
21. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 49' Tokyo Verdy · On: Maaya Sako · Off: Naoki Hayashi
22. 50′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–5
23. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Tokyo Verdy win: 35% at kick-off, 75% now
24. 56′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 1–1 · 23–54–23
25. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Tokyo Verdy 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka
26. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Tokyo Verdy win: 35% at kick-off, 23% now
27. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Tokyo Verdy win 77%)
28. 57′Werik Popo scores for Avispa Fukuoka on 56′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 23–54–23
29. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Avispa Fukuoka · On: Masato Yuzawa · Off: Yu Hashimoto
30. 65′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–61–19
31. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Tokyo Verdy · On: Yuan Matsuhashi · Off: Issei Kumatoriya
32. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Tokyo Verdy · On: Koki Morita · Off: Kosuke Saito
33. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Daiki Miya · Avispa Fukuoka
34. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Tokyo Verdy win: 35% at kick-off, 15% now
35. 74′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–72–14
36. 75′74′: Yuan Matsuhashi on the scoresheet for Tokyo Verdy, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 87–12–1
37. 75′⚽ GOAL · 74' Tokyo Verdy 2–1 Avispa Fukuoka · Yuan Matsuhashi
38. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Tokyo Verdy win: 35% at kick-off, 87% now
39. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Tokyo Verdy win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 72%)
40. 76′3 goals already, more than the 2.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 87–12–1
41. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Avispa Fukuoka · On: Yuma Tsujioka · Off: Daiki Miya
42. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Avispa Fukuoka · On: Shohei Takemoto · Off: Yuji Kitajima
43. 79′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
44. 86′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
45. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Tokyo Verdy win: 35% at kick-off, 95% now
46. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Avispa Fukuoka · On: Hiroki Akino · Off: Masato Shigemi
47. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Tokyo Verdy · On: Shimon Teranuma · Off: Kazunari Ichimi
48. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Tokyo Verdy · On: Goki Yamada · Off: Yuta Arai
49. 90′Tokyo Verdy ahead on 90′ through Shimon Teranuma. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
50. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Tokyo Verdy 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka · Shimon Teranuma
51. 91′We said Tokyo Verdy at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
52. 92′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.0 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 100–0–0
53. FTFULL TIME Tokyo Verdy 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka
54. FTTokyo Verdy 3–1 Avispa Fukuoka · Tokyo Verdy win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.