Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Shimizu S-pulse win at 37%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Shimizu S-pulse 37% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 37–27–36
3. 2′KICK-OFF Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka
4. 9′We said Shimizu S-pulse at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–0 · 65–21–15
5. 9′⚽ GOAL · 9' Shimizu S-pulse 1–0 Gamba Osaka
6. 9′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 9' Shimizu S-pulse win: 37% at kick-off, 65% now
7. 10′Yuki Honda scores for Shimizu S-pulse on 9′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 65–21–14
8. 23′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Ryoya Yamashita · Gamba Osaka
9. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Ryo Hatsuse · Gamba Osaka
10. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Shimizu S-pulse win: 37% at kick-off, 67% now
11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 1–0 · 67–22–11
12. 42′We said Shimizu S-pulse at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 1–0 · 70–22–9
13. 42′42′: Kai Matsuzaki on the scoresheet for Shimizu S-pulse. 1–0 · 70–22–9
14. 43′We said Shimizu S-pulse at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 92%. 2–0 · 92–7–2
15. 43′⚽ GOAL · 42' Shimizu S-pulse 2–0 Gamba Osaka · Kai Matsuzaki
16. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Shimizu S-pulse win: 37% at kick-off, 92% now
17. 45′HALF-TIME Shimizu S-pulse 2–0 Gamba Osaka
18. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Gamba Osaka · On: Takashi Usami · Off: Yusei Toshida
19. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Gamba Osaka · On: Eli Adams · Off: Rin Mito
20. 46′SECOND HALF Shimizu S-pulse 2–0 Gamba Osaka
21. 48′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Hidehiro Sugai · Shimizu S-pulse
22. 57′We said Shimizu S-pulse at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 2–0 · 95–5–1
23. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Shimizu S-pulse · On: Tomoya Fujii · Off: Kenta Inoue
24. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Gamba Osaka · On: Ryotaro Meshino · Off: Welton
25. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Shimizu S-pulse win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
26. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Shimizu S-pulse · On: Yudai Shimamoto · Off: Oh Se-hun
27. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Shimizu S-pulse · On: Yutaka Yoshida · Off: Mateus Brunetti Valor
28. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Gamba Osaka · On: Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa · Off: Shota Fukuoka
29. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Gamba Osaka · On: Ryo Hatsuse · Off: Shinya Nakano
30. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 75' T. Myojin · Gamba Osaka
31. 83′We said Shimizu S-pulse at 37% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
32. 84′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 93–7–0
33. 84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Shimizu S-pulse 2–1 Gamba Osaka
34. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Shimizu S-pulse win: 37% at kick-off, 93% now
35. 85′Gamba Osaka pull one back on 84′ through Ryotaro Meshino. 2–1. 2–1 · 93–7–0
36. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Shimizu S-pulse · On: Park Seung-Wook · Off: Kai Matsuzaki
37. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Shimizu S-pulse win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
38. 95′Issam Jebali scores for Gamba Osaka on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 1–97–1
39. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+5' Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka · Issam Jebali
40. 95′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+5' Shimizu S-pulse win: 37% at kick-off, 1% now
41. 95′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+5' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Shimizu S-pulse win 1%)
42. 96′We said Shimizu S-pulse at 37%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 1%. 2–2 · 1–97–1
43. FTFULL TIME Shimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka
44. FTShimizu S-pulse 2–2 Gamba Osaka · Shimizu S-pulse win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.