Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Sanfrecce Hiroshima was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–23–19
3. 1′KICK-OFF Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga
4. 32′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Kyo Sato · Kyoto Sanga
5. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Sanfrecce Hiroshima win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
6. 41′We said Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–35–18
7. 43′Sanfrecce Hiroshima have had 10 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 46–36–18
8. 45′HALF-TIME Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Kyoto Sanga
9. 45′SECOND HALF Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–0 Kyoto Sanga
10. 46′We said Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
11. 47′Sanfrecce Hiroshima have had 12 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 44–38–18
12. 49′48′: Daiki Suga on the scoresheet for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. 0–0 · 43–40–18
13. 49′We published Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 58%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–14–3
14. 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1–0 Kyoto Sanga · Daiki Suga
15. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Sanfrecce Hiroshima win: 58% at kick-off, 82% now
16. 55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 45–37–18 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
17. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Kyoto Sanga · On: Alex Souza · Off: Ryuma Nakano
18. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Kyoto Sanga · On: Temma Matsuda · Off: Takaaki Shichi
19. 62′We published Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 58%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
20. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sanfrecce Hiroshima · On: Taishi Matsumoto · Off: Yotaro Nakajima
21. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Sanfrecce Hiroshima · On: Mutsuki Kato · Off: Shun Ayukawa
22. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Sanfrecce Hiroshima · On: Kim Ju-sung · Off: Daiki Suga
23. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Sanfrecce Hiroshima win: 58% at kick-off, 88% now
24. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Kyoto Sanga · On: Marco Túlio · Off: Takumi Kato
25. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Kyoto Sanga · On: Takuji Yonemoto · Off: Sung-jun Yoon Corrected
26. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Sébastien Haller · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
27. 76′We published Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 58%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
28. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Sanfrecce Hiroshima · On: Takuma Asano · Off: Sébastien Haller
29. 79′Akito Suzuki scores for Sanfrecce Hiroshima on 78′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
30. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kyoto Sanga · Akito Suzuki (assist Takuma Asano)
31. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Sanfrecce Hiroshima win: 58% at kick-off, over 99% now
32. 80′We published Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 58%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
33. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Kyoto Sanga · On: Takuji Yonemoto · Off: Hiroto Morooka
34. 83′82′: Mutsuki Kato on the scoresheet for Sanfrecce Hiroshima, making it 3–0. 3–0 · 100–0–0
35. 83′⚽ GOAL · 82' Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga · Mutsuki Kato (assist Akito Suzuki)
36. 84′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 100–0–0
37. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Sanfrecce Hiroshima · On: Takumu Kawamura · Off: Akito Suzuki
38. 90′Full time, 3–0. We called Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 58% — that one lands. 3–0 · 100–0–0
39. FTFULL TIME Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga
40. FTSanfrecce Hiroshima 3–0 Kyoto Sanga · Sanfrecce Hiroshima win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.