Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kashiwa Reysol win at 49%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kashiwa Reysol was 49% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–25–26
3. 1′KICK-OFF Kashiwa Reysol v Nagoya Grampus
4. 5′We said Kashiwa Reysol at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–1 · 25–23–52
5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Kashiwa Reysol 0–1 Nagoya Grampus
6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Kashiwa Reysol win: 49% at kick-off, 25% now
7. 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' Nagoya Grampus win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Kashiwa Reysol win 25%)
8. 6′Nagoya Grampus score on 6′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 25–23–52
9. 7′We said Kashiwa Reysol at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–24–52
10. 13′SUBSTITUTION · 13' Kashiwa Reysol · On: Kengo Nagai · Off: Tomoya Wakahara
11. 16′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Yoshio Koizumi · Kashiwa Reysol
12. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Kashiwa Reysol 1–1 Nagoya Grampus
13. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Kashiwa Reysol win: 49% at kick-off, 45% now
14. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Kashiwa Reysol win is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Nagoya Grampus win 26%)
15. 23′Kashiwa Reysol level it on 23′ through Keita Endo. 1–1. 1–1 · 45–29–26
16. 36′We said Kashiwa Reysol at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 1–2 · 16–25–58
17. 36′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 16–25–58
18. 36′⚽ GOAL · 36' Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Nagoya Grampus
19. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' Kashiwa Reysol win: 49% at kick-off, 16% now
20. 36′THE CALL SWINGS · 36' Nagoya Grampus win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Kashiwa Reysol win 16%)
21. 37′Yudai Kimura scores for Nagoya Grampus on 36′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 16–25–59
22. 41′We said Kashiwa Reysol at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–2 · 14–26–60
23. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kashiwa Reysol · On: Wataru Harada · Off: Sachiro Toshima
24. 52′SECOND HALF Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Nagoya Grampus
25. 53′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Kashiwa Reysol · On: Yusuke Segawa · Off: Hinata Yamauchi
26. 54′9 shots for Kashiwa Reysol, 4 the other way, and they still trail 1–2. 1–2 · 13–26–61
27. 54′HALF-TIME Kashiwa Reysol 1–2 Nagoya Grampus
28. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Daiki Sugioka · Kashiwa Reysol
29. 56′We said Kashiwa Reysol at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–25–66
30. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 56' Kashiwa Reysol win: 49% at kick-off, 9% now
31. 57′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Nagoya Grampus · On: Hidemasa Koda · Off: Kensuke Nagai
32. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Nagoya Grampus · On: Yuya Yamagishi · Off: Yudai Kimura
33. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Kashiwa Reysol · On: Kenshin Yuba · Off: Keita Endo
34. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Kashiwa Reysol · On: Riki Harakawa · Off: Yudai Konishi
35. 70′We said Kashiwa Reysol at 49%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–21–75
36. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Kashiwa Reysol · On: Mao Hosoya · Off: Shota Fujio
37. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Nagoya Grampus · On: Masahito Ono · Off: Tsukasa Morishima
38. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Nagoya Grampus · On: Tomoya Koyamatsu · Off: Yuki Nogami
39. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Nagoya Grampus · On: Shuhei Tokumoto · Off: Ryuji Izumi
40. 79′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–1–98
41. 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Nagoya Grampus
42. 80′79′: Yuya Yamagishi on the scoresheet for Nagoya Grampus, making it 1–3. 1–3 · 0–1–99
43. 87′13 shots for Kashiwa Reysol, 8 the other way, and they still trail 1–3. 1–3 · 0–0–100
44. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Nagoya Grampus · On: Yota Sato · Off: Tomoki Takamine
45. FTFULL TIME Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 Nagoya Grampus
46. FTKashiwa Reysol 1–3 Nagoya Grampus · Kashiwa Reysol win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.